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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Res Crime Delinq. 2021 Mar 24;58(6):710–754. doi: 10.1177/00224278211001566
Main Hazard Model Hazard Model with Time-Dependent Covariates Logit model
HR 95% Conf. Int. HR 95% Conf. Int. AOR 95% Conf. Int.
Exit type (Reference = Aged out)
Adopted 0.75 [0.37–1.54] 2.20 [0.73–6.62] 0.77 [0.37–1.64]
Reunified 1.73*** [1.46–2.06] 2.37*** [1.73–3.23] 1.87*** [1.53–2.29]
Guardianship/Permanent relative placement 1.34* [1.01–1.78] 1.72* [1.03–2.86] 1.36 [0.99–1.88]
Detained 3.22*** [2.57–4.05] 5.70*** [3.91–8.32] 4.20*** [3.09–5.71]
AWOL / Runaway 2.41*** [1.91–3.03] 3.47*** [2.29–5.26] 2.73*** [2.05–3.63]
Child Characteristics
Race (Reference = White)
 Black 1.86*** [1.60–2.16] 1.85*** [1.59–2.15] 2.07*** [1.72–2.49]
 Hispanic 1.25* [1.03–1.52] 1.24* [1.02–1.51] 1.24 [0.98–1.56]
 American Indian 1.63*** [1.33–2.00] 1.63*** [1.33–2.00] 1.76*** [1.37–2.26]
 Other 0.80 [0.47–1.35] 0.81 [0.48–1.36] 0.79 [0.45–1.41]
Age at first OHC episode 1.01 [0.99–1.03] 1.01 [0.99–1.03] 1.02 [1.00–1.04]
Received SSI as child 0.95 [0.84–1.08] 0.95 [0.84–1.08] 0.95 [0.81–1.10]
Female 0.11*** [0.09–0.13] 0.08*** [0.06–0.12] 0.09*** [0.07–0.11]
Birth year (reference =1987–1989)
 1990–1992 0.99 [0.85–1.15] 1.20 [0.91–1.59] 0.95 [0.79–1.14]
 1993–1995 1.09 [0.90–1.25] 1.31 [0.98–1.75] 0.88 [0.72–1.08]
 1996–1997 0.95 [0.76–1.19] 1.09 [0.74–1.61] 0.35*** [0.27–0.45]
CPS history before last removal (reference = no known abuse or neglect) b
 Neglect only 0.75** [0.61–0.92] 0.74** [0.61–0.91] 0.70** [0.55–0.88]
 Physical or emotional abuse only 1.11 [0.93–1.33] 1.11 [0.93–1.32] 1.14 [0.92–1.41]
 Sexual abuse only 1.08 [0.84–1.40] 1.08 [0.84–1.39] 1.03 [0.76–1.40]
 Multiple types 1.07 [0.85–1.35] 1.07 [0.85–1.35] 1.07 [0.81–1.40]
 Total reports 0.97 [0.92–1.02] 0.97 [0.92–1.02] 0.97 [0.91–1.03]
Birth Family Characteristics
Mother’s age at first birth 0.98*** [0.97–0.99] 0.98*** [0.97–0.99] 0.97*** [0.96–0.99]
Child’s birth status (reference =marital birth)
 Nonmarital birth 1.06 [0.92–1.22] 1.06 [0.92–1.22] 1.10 [0.93–1.30]
 Birth status unknown 0.89 [0.74–1.06] 0.89 [0.74–1.07] 0.88 [0.71–1.09]
Biological family exposures between birth and last removal:
Percent months mother received food assistance 0.96 [0.75–1.22] 0.96 [0.76–1.22] 0.95 [0.71–1.27]
Mother’s average quarterly wages 1.01 [0.97–1.04] 1.04 [0.99–1.09] 1.00 [0.96–1.04]
Mother’s percent quarters employed 1.00 [0.75–1.32] 0.65* [0.42–0.99] 1.08 [0.78–1.51]
Mother received cash assistance 1.11 [0.95–1.28] 1.10 [0.95–1.28] 1.13 [0.95–1.35]
Mother incarcerated 1.28* [1.05–1.57] 1.28* [1.05–1.57] 1.28 [0.99–1.66]
Father incarcerated 1.17* [1.03–1.33] 1.17* [1.03–1.33] 1.19* [1.02–1.40]
Father incarceration unknown (father not identified) 1.08 [0.89–1.31] 1.07 [0.89–1.30] 1.11 [0.88–1.41]
Foster Care Characteristics
Logged time in care 1.00 [0.94–1.05] 1.00 [0.94–1.05] 1.00 [0.94–1.07]
Pct. time in kin setting 0.80* [0.64–1.00] 0.80* [0.64–0.99] 0.75* [0.58–0.97]
Pct. time in congregate setting 1.60*** [1.37–1.87] 1.59*** [1.36–1.86] 1.70*** [1.41–2.05]
History of placement in detention 1.91*** [1.67–2.17] 1.92*** [1.68–2.18] 2.16*** [1.84–2.53]
History of temporary/shelter placements 1.00 [0.88–1.14] 1.01 [0.89–1.14] 1.02 [0.88–1.19]
Number of OHC episodes 1.05* [1.01–1.10] 1.06* [1.01–1.11] 1.07* [1.00–1.13]
Number of OHC placements 1.03*** [1.01–1.04] 1.02*** [1.01–1.04] 1.03*** [1.02–1.05]
Time Dependent covariates
Exit type (reference = aged out)
 Adopted 1.00 [0.90–1.00]
 Reunified 0.99* [0.98–1.00]
 Guardianship/Permanent relative placement 0.99 [0.97–1.01]
 Detained 0.97*** [0.96–0.99]
 AWOL / Runaway 0.99* [0.97–1.00]
Female 1.01 [1.00–1.02]
Year of birth 1.00 [1.00–1.00]
 1990–1992 0.99 [0.98–1.00]
 1993–1995 0.99 [0.98–1.00]
 1996–1997 0.99 [0.97–1.02]
Mother’s average quarterly wages 1.00 [1.00–1.00]
Mother’s percent quarters employed 1.02* [1.00–1.04]