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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Res Crime Delinq. 2021 Mar 24;58(6):710–754. doi: 10.1177/00224278211001566
No Controls All Controls CPS Only Race interaction
HR 95% Conf. Int. HR 95% Conf. Int. HR 95% Conf. Int. HR 95% Conf. Int.
Exit type (reference = Aged out)
Reunified 1.46*** [1.25–1.72] 1.72*** [1.42–2.07] 1.85*** [1.42–2.42] 1.27 [0.97–1.66]
Guardianship/permanent relative placement 0.86 [0.64–1.14] 1.25 [0.92–1.70] 0.92 [0.56–1.52] 0.81 [0.47–1.38]
Child Characteristics
Race (Reference = White)
 Black 2.10*** [1.76–2.50] 1.99*** [1.49–2.65] 1.44* [1.01–2.05]
 Hispanic 1.38** [1.10–1.72] 1.60* [1.11–2.31]
 American Indian 1.42** [1.11–1.81] 1.53* [1.01–2.32]
 Other 1.13 [0.66–1.92] 0.90 [0.28–2.86]
Age at first OHC episode 1.01 [0.98–1.03] 0.98 [0.95–1.01] 1.00 [0.98–1.03]
Received SSI as child 0.98 [0.85–1.13] 0.91 [0.73–1.13] 0.92 [0.79–1.08]
Birth year (reference =1987–1989)
 1990–1992 0.87 [0.73–1.04] 1.17 [0.76–1.81] 0.82* [0.68–1.00]
 1993–1995 0.94 [0.78–1.13] 1.26 [0.81–1.93] 0.91 [0.74–1.12]
 1996–1997 0.89 [0.68–1.16] 1.26 [0.76–2.07] 0.80 [0.60–1.09]
CPS history before last removal (reference = no known abuse or neglect) b
 Neglect only 0.67** [0.53–0.86] [reference] 0.68** [0.52–0.89]
 Physical or emotional abuse only 1.12 [0.91–1.37] 1.69*** [1.28–2.24] 1.04 [0.83–1.32]
 Sexual abuse only 1.18 [0.87–1.60] 1.75** [1.20–2.55] 0.99 [0.69–1.42]
 Multiple types 0.99 [0.75–1.32] 1.46** [1.10–1.95] 1.02 [0.75–1.39]
 Total reports 0.99 [0.93–1.06] 0.99 [0.92–1.06] 1.00 [0.93–1.07]
Birth Family Characteristics
Mother’s age at first birth 0.97*** [0.96–0.99] 0.96** [0.94–0.99] 0.97** [0.96–0.99]
Child’s birth status (reference =marital birth)
 Nonmarital birth 1.09 [0.93–1.28] 1.18 [0.91–1.54] 1.16 [0.97–1.39]
 Birth status unknown 0.87 [0.70–1.07] 0.81 [0.54–1.22] 1.01 [0.80–1.28]
Biological family exposures between birth and last removal:
 Percent months mother received food assistance 0.94 [0.71–1.25] 1.21 [0.78–1.87] 0.86 [0.62–1.18]
 Mother’s average quarterly wages 1.00 [0.96–1.04] 1.03 [0.96–1.10] 1.00 [0.96–1.04]
 Mother’s percent quarters employed 1.10 [0.79–1.53] 0.86 [0.50–1.46] 1.02 [0.71–1.46]
 Mother received cash assistance 1.08 [0.91–1.28] 1.09 [0.83–1.43] 1.01 [0.84–1.22]
 Mother incarcerated 1.16 [0.91–1.49] 1.04 [0.73–1.50] 1.10 [0.84–1.44]
 Father incarcerated 1.18* [1.01–1.38] 1.08 [0.85–1.36] 1.28** [1.08–1.52]
 Father incarceration unknown (father not identified) 1.12 [0.89–1.41] 1.11 [0.74–1.67] 1.06 [0.82–1.36]
Foster Care Characteristics
Logged time in care 0.99 [0.93–1.06] 0.96 [0.86–1.07] 0.98 [0.91–1.05]
Pct. time in kin setting 0.73* [0.56–0.94] 0.67* [0.47–0.96] 0.78 [0.59–1.03]
Pct. time in congregate setting 1.44*** [1.21–1.72] 1.61** [1.19–2.17] 1.43*** [1.17–1.75]
History of placement in detention 1.95*** [1.68–2.26] 2.16*** [1.70–2.75] 1.93*** [1.63–2.28]
History of temporary/shelter placements 0.98 [0.85–1.14] 1.06 [0.85–1.34] 0.96 [0.82–1.14]
Number of OHC episodes 1.08* [1.01–1.14] 1.02 [0.91–1.14] 1.10** [1.03–1.17]
Number of OHC placements 1.01 [0.99–1.03] 1.02 [0.99–1.04] 1.01 [0.99–1.03]
Race * Exit Type
Reunified*Black 1.61* [1.12–2.31]
Guardianship/Permanent relative placement* Black 1.84 [0.94–3.60]
Observations 6000 6000 2689 4922