Appendix 1—table 7. CAUSE posterior probabilities and q values for the causal and sharing models for central adiposity and body fat percentage.
| Model | Causal Effect (CI) | Shared effect (CI) | Q (CI) | Sharing vs causal model p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vigorous physical activity → BFP | ||||
| Sharing | NA | –0.18 (-0.23,–0.13) | 0.89 (0.67, 0.98) | 1.4e-06 |
| Causal | –0.17 (-0.24,–0.09) | 0 (-0.28, 0.26) | 0.19 (0, 0.86) | |
| Moderate physical activity → BFP | ||||
| Sharing | NA | –0.17 (-0.26,–0.09) | 0.78 (0.39, 0.97) | 0.0041 |
| Causal | –0.15 (-0.24,–0.05) | 0 (-0.32, 0.31) | 0.2 (0, 0.86) | |
| Sedentary time → BFP | ||||
| Sharing | NA | 0.11 (0.06, 0.17) | 0.75 (0.37, 0.96) | 0.0088 |
| Causal | 0.09 (0.03, 0.15) | 0 (-0.26, 0.27) | 0.19 (0, 0.86) | |
| BFP → Vigorous physical activity | ||||
| Sharing | NA | –0.27 (-0.29,–0.25) | 0.97 (0.92, 1) | 3.9e-15 |
| Causal | –0.26 (-0.31,–0.22) | 0 (-0.26, 0.22) | 0.18 (0, 0.85) | |
| BFP → Moderate physical activity | ||||
| Sharing | NA | –0.21 (-0.25,–0.18) | 0.91 (0.77, 0.99) | 0.029 |
| Causal | –0.19 (-0.26,–0.12) | 0 (-0.3, 0.31) | 0.19 (0, 0.86) | |
| BFP → Sedentary time | ||||
| Sharing | NA | 0.2 (0.17, 0.24) | 0.91 (0.76, 0.99) | 0.00032 |
| Causal | 0.19 (0.12, 0.25) | 0 (-0.33, 0.31) | 0.18 (0, 0.86) | |
| Vigorous physical activity → WCadjBMI | ||||
| Sharing | NA | –0.01 (-0.62, 0.59) | 0.12 (0, 0.72) | 1 |
| Causal | 0 (-0.15, 0.14) | 0 (-0.55, 0.52) | 0.2 (0.01, 0.86) | |
| Moderate physical activity → WCadjBMI | ||||
| Sharing | NA | –0.14 (-0.98, 0.6) | 0.13 (0.01, 0.69) | 9.20E-01 |
| Causal | –0.03 (-0.36, 0.27) | –0.03 (-0.83, 0.7) | 0.26 (0.01, 0.84) | |
| Sedentary time → WCadjBMI | ||||
| Sharing | NA | 0.01 (-0.44, 0.57) | 0.12 (0, 0.71) | 1 |
| Causal | 0 (-0.13, 0.14) | 0.01 (-0.41, 0.52) | 0.21 (0.01, 0.85) | |
| WCadjBMI → Vigorous physical activity | ||||
| Sharing | NA | –0.1 (-0.21,–0.05) | 0.59 (0.19, 0.92) | 0.072 |
| Causal | –0.07 (-0.14, 0) | 0 (-0.31, 0.36) | 0.19 (0, 0.86) | |
| WCadjBMI → Moderate physical activity | ||||
| Sharing | NA | –0.11 (-0.27,–0.04) | 0.47 (0.11, 0.88) | 0.19 |
| Causal | –0.06 (-0.14, 0.03) | 0 (-0.34, 0.36) | 0.19 (0, 0.86) | |
| WCadjBMI → Sedentary time | ||||
| Sharing | NA | 0.1 (0.05, 0.2) | 0.63 (0.23, 0.93) | 0.059 |
| Causal | 0.07 (0.01, 0.14) | 0.01 (-0.3, 0.48) | 0.17 (0, 0.85) | |
| Vigorous physical activity → WHRadjBMI | ||||
| Sharing | NA | –0.1 (-0.39, 0.07) | 0.36 (0.01, 0.86) | 0.2 |
| Causal | –0.06 (-0.16, 0.04) | 0 (-0.37, 0.44) | 0.19 (0, 0.86) | |
| Moderate physical activity → WHRadjBMI | ||||
| Sharing | NA | –0.04 (-0.48, 0.39) | 0.15 (0, 0.76) | 8.60E-01 |
| Causal | –0.03 (-0.14, 0.09) | 0 (-0.41, 0.4) | 0.2 (0, 0.86) | |
| Sedentary time → WHRadjBMI | ||||
| Sharing | NA | 0.01 (-0.26, 0.34) | 0.12 (0, 0.72) | 1 |
| Causal | 0 (-0.06, 0.07) | 0 (-0.22, 0.28) | 0.2 (0, 0.86) | |
| WHRadjBMI → Vigorous physical activity | ||||
| Sharing | NA | –0.04 (-0.3, 0.12) | 0.16 (0, 0.76) | 0.65 |
| Causal | –0.01 (-0.06, 0.03) | 0 (-0.25, 0.21) | 0.18 (0, 0.85) | |
| WHRadjBMI → Moderate physical activity | ||||
| Sharing | NA | –0.04 (-0.31, 0.14) | 0.16 (0, 0.75) | 6.30E-01 |
| Causal | –0.01 (-0.06, 0.03) | 0 (-0.25, 0.22) | 0.18 (0, 0.85) | |
| WHRadjBMI → Sedentary time | ||||
| Sharing | NA | 0.07 (0.03, 0.18) | 0.49 (0.13, 0.89) | 0.17 |
| Causal | 0.04 (-0.01, 0.09) | 0 (-0.29, 0.4) | 0.17 (0, 0.83) | |
BFP, Body Fat Percentage; WCadjBMI, waist circumference adjusted for BMI; WHRadjBMI,waist-to-hip ratio adjusted for BMI; NA, not applicable; CI, 95% confidence interval.