Table 1.
The global breast cancer burden attributable to low physical activity in 1990 and 2019 and the temporal trends from 1990 to 2019
| Characteristics | 1990 | 2019 | EAPC (1990–2019) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deaths cases | ASMR per 105 | DALYs | ASDR per 105 | Deaths cases | ASMR per 105 | DALYs | ASDR per 105 | ASMR | ASDR | |
| No. (95% UI) | No. (95% UI) | No. × 103 (95% UI) | No. (95% UI) | No. (95% UI) | No. (95% UI) | No. × 103 (95% UI) | No. (95% UI) | No. (95% CI) | No. (95% CI) | |
| Overall |
4412 (2006, 7693) |
0.22 (0.10, 0.38) |
109.95 (51.95, 202.20) |
5.14 (2.43, 9.38) |
8475 (4078, 14,305) |
0.19 (0.09, 0.33) |
197.80 (97.52, 345.14) |
4.57 (2.26, 7.98) |
-0.46 (-0.52, -0.40) |
-0.44 (-0.49, -0.39) |
| SDI region | ||||||||||
| High SDI |
2036 (755, 3768) |
0.33 (0.13, 0.63) |
45.40 (17.20, 88.69) |
8.10 (3.14, 16.08) |
2733 (994, 4932) |
0.25 (0.09, 0.45) |
55.55 (21.13, 103.29) |
6.12 (2.3, 11.75) |
-1.21 (-1.28, -1.14) |
-1.17 (-1.25, -1.08) |
| High-middle SDI |
1184 (571, 1995) |
0.20 (0.10, 0.34) |
29.84 (14.72, 51.22) |
5.05 (2.50, 8.74) |
2227 (1038, 3714) |
0.19 (0.09, 0.32) |
48.78 (23.48, 82.28) |
4.50 (2.21, 7.69) |
-0.28 (-0.40, -0.16) |
-0.51 (-0.60, -0.42) |
| Middle SDI |
621 (331, 1075) |
0.12 (0.06, 0.21) |
17.93 (9.95, 32.03) |
3.14 (1.71, 5.56) |
1806 (932, 3039) |
0.14 (0.07, 0.24) |
47.17 (24.94, 83.77) |
3.53 (1.87, 6.27) |
0.59 (0.48, 0.69) |
0.49 (0.40, 0.58) |
| Low-middle SDI |
426 (217, 729) |
0.15 (0.08, 0.25) |
12.47 (6.74, 22.02) |
3.82 (2.01, 6.59) |
1283 (677, 2098) |
0.19 (0.10, 0.31) |
34.34 (18.98, 58.8) |
4.61 (2.51, 7.83) |
0.84 (0.76, 0.92) |
0.81 (0.72, 0.91) |
| Low SDI |
142 (76, 246) |
0.13 (0.07, 0.22) |
4.21 (2.35, 7.60) |
3.24 (1.76, 5.70) |
41 (232, 711) |
0.17 (0.09, 0.28) |
11.78 (6.74, 20.81) |
4.03 (2.25, 6.91) |
1.14 (1.07, 1.22) |
1.02 (0.94, 1.10) |
| GBD region | ||||||||||
| High-income Asia Pacific |
104 (40, 214) |
0.09 (0.04, 0.19) |
2.95 (1.20, 6.43) |
2.68 (1.10, 5.86) |
298 (107, 567) |
0.12 (0.04, 0.24) |
6.28 (2.35, 12.85) |
3.21 (1.26, 6.99) |
1.00 (0.87, 1.14) |
0.83 (0.69, 0.98) |
| High-income North America |
733 (259, 1426) |
0.36 (0.13, 0.70) |
17.22 (6.32, 35.14) |
9.30 (3.41, 19.47) |
778 (285, 1462) |
0.22 (0.08, 0.42) |
17.44 (6.34, 34.73) |
5.69 (2.08, 11.64) |
-1.84 (-1.99, -1.68) |
-1.85 (-1.93, -1.76) |
| Western Europe |
1495 (527, 2701) |
0.44 (0.16, 0.81) |
32.02 (11.75, 60.80) |
10.67 (3.89, 20.58) |
1992 (667, 3562) |
0.35 (0.12, 0.64) |
36.15 (12.79, 66.22) |
8.10 (2.8, 15.39) |
-1.05 (-1.18, -0.92) |
-1.31 (-1.48, -1.14) |
| Australasia |
47 (17, 90) |
0.37 (0.13, 0.70) |
1.09 (0.40, 2.16) |
8.88 (3.28, 17.87) |
91 (29, 165) |
0.33 (0.11, 0.60) |
1.93 (0.65, 3.58) |
8.03 (2.63, 15.39) |
-0.45 (-0.51, -0.39) |
-0.37 (-0.44, -0.31) |
| Southern Latin America |
36 (22, 73) |
0.14 (0.09, 0.29) |
0.92 (0.57, 1.96) |
3.68 (2.28, 7.89) |
72 (40, 135) |
0.15 (0.08, 0.28) |
1.58 (0.90, 3.04) |
3.58 (2.07, 7.03) |
0.20 (0.05, 0.36) |
-0.03 (-0.14, 0.08) |
| Andean Latin America |
6 (4, 14) |
0.06 (0.04, 0.13) |
0.18 (0.12, 0.49) |
1.48 (0.99, 3.96) |
19 (11, 41) |
0.07 (0.04, 0.14) |
0.48 (0.29, 1.15) |
1.61 (0.96, 3.76) |
0.39 (0.27, 0.51) |
0.08 (-0.04, 0.19) |
| Tropical Latin America |
226 (78, 394) |
0.47 (0.17, 0.81) |
6.59 (2.21, 11.75) |
12.33 (4.14, 21.91) |
594 (220, 1004) |
0.45 (0.16, 0.75) |
15.35 (5.42, 26.24) |
11.48 (4.06, 19.58) |
-0.21 (-0.39, -0.03) |
-0.24 (-0.43, -0.05) |
| Central Latin America |
44 (21, 86) |
0.10 (0.05, 0.20) |
1.30 (0.63, 2.67) |
2.66 (1.29, 5.44) |
138 (63, 272) |
0.11 (0.05, 0.22) |
3.65 (1.74, 7.44) |
2.79 (1.33, 5.64) |
0.31 (0.20, 0.42) |
0.42 (0.30, 0.54) |
| Caribbean |
45 (16, 82) |
0.34 (0.12, 0.62) |
1.12 (0.43, 2.14) |
8.19 (3.08, 15.60) |
109 (38, 199) |
0.39 (0.14, 0.71) |
2.54 (0.92, 4.82) |
9.33 (3.38, 17.77) |
0.63 (0.55, 0.72) |
0.66 (0.58, 0.74) |
| Eastern Europe |
215 (132, 364) |
0.12 (0.08, 0.21) |
5.44 (3.43, 9.89) |
3.28 (2.09, 6.13) |
325 (184, 543) |
0.15 (0.08, 0.25) |
6.91 (4.06, 12.21) |
3.43 (2.07, 6.21) |
0.42 (0.16, 0.68) |
-0.09 (-0.33, 0.16) |
| Central Europe |
187 (101, 303) |
0.23 (0.13, 0.38) |
4.45 (2.48, 7.61) |
5.55 (3.12, 9.57) |
320 (161, 531) |
0.25 (0.13, 0.41) |
6.24 (3.27, 10.47) |
5.52 (2.95, 9.41) |
0.22 (0.12, 0.32) |
-0.03 (-0.12, 0.06) |
| Central Asia |
36 (22, 61) |
0.13 (0.08, 0.22) |
0.96 (0.61, 1.80) |
3.47 (2.22, 6.49) |
55 (33, 97) |
0.14 (0.09, 0.25) |
1.48 (0.91, 2.78) |
3.40 (2.07, 6.19) |
0.55 (0.42, 0.68) |
0.01 (-0.10, 0.11) |
| North Africa and Middle East |
183 (75, 326) |
0.22 (0.09, 0.38) |
5.53 (2.35, 10.19) |
5.80 (2.44, 10.53) |
680 (272, 1201) |
0.32 (0.13, 0.55) |
20.32 (7.94, 36.49) |
8.45 (3.32, 15.14) |
1.44 (1.34, 1.53) |
1.34 (1.27, 1.41) |
| South Asia |
400 (201, 685) |
0.17 (0.08, 0.28) |
11.49 (5.94, 20.56) |
3.92 (2.01, 6.82) |
1246 (667, 2051) |
0.19 (0.10, 0.31) |
31.60 (17.66, 54.57) |
4.30 (2.37, 7.3) |
0.79 (0.60, 0.99) |
0.89 (0.69, 1.10) |
| Southeast Asia |
153 (92, 304) |
0.11 (0.07, 0.21) |
4.79 (3.00, 10.11) |
3.06 (1.88, 6.25) |
408 (233, 754) |
0.13 (0.07, 0.23) |
11.55 (6.79, 22.93) |
3.31 (1.93, 6.48) |
0.31 (0.24, 0.39) |
0.15 (0.09, 0.21) |
| East Asia |
347 (175, 621) |
0.08 (0.04, 0.15) |
9.55 (5.17, 17.92) |
2.03 (1.08, 3.71) |
889 (448, 1590) |
0.08 (0.04, 0.15) |
21.83 (11.52, 40.93) |
2.03 (1.07, 3.8) |
-0.32 (-0.46, -0.19) |
-0.43 (-0.58, -0.27) |
| Oceania |
6 (2, 12) |
0.42 (0.17, 0.81) |
0.20 (0.08, 0.42) |
11.67 (4.67, 23.26) |
21 (8, 41) |
0.58 (0.22, 1.10) |
0.68 (0.27, 1.41) |
15.93 (6.08, 32.04) |
1.03 (0.99, 1.06) |
1.03 (0.98, 1.08) |
| Western Sub-Saharan Africa |
62 (33, 111) |
0.15 (0.08, 0.27) |
1.68 (0.91, 3.04) |
3.67 (1.98, 6.64) |
201 (102, 360) |
0.22 (0.11, 0.40) |
5.58 (2.88, 10.14) |
5.13 (2.58, 9.12) |
1.33 (1.29, 1.38) |
1.19 (1.12, 1.26) |
| Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa |
26 (17, 58) |
0.07 (0.05, 0.15) |
0.81 (0.52, 1.95) |
1.84 (1.19, 4.19) |
73 (47, 154) |
0.09 (0.06, 0.18) |
2.09 (1.37, 4.92) |
2.14 (1.39, 4.67) |
0.82 (0.72, 0.92) |
0.50 (0.37, 0.62) |
| Central Sub-Saharan Africa |
22 (10, 41) |
0.21 (0.10, 0.39) |
0.65 (0.31, 1.26) |
4.95 (2.33, 9.27) |
73 (34, 141) |
0.29 (0.13, 0.53) |
2.01 (0.93, 3.89) |
6.39 (2.98, 12.23) |
0.91 (0.71, 1.12) |
0.78 (0.58, 0.98) |
| Southern Sub-Saharan Africa |
38 (16, 69) |
0.25 (0.11, 0.46) |
1.01 (0.45, 1.92) |
6.06 (2.69, 11.29) |
91 (42, 160) |
0.30 (0.14, 0.53) |
2.12 (0.99, 3.82) |
6.39 (3.01, 11.37) |
1.27 (0.82, 1.73) |
0.86 (0.43, 1.29) |
No. number, ASMR age-standardized mortality rate, UI uncertainty interval, DALYs disability-adjusted life years, ASDR age-standardized DALY rate, EAPC estimated annual percentage change, CI confidence interval, SDI Socio-demographic Index