Table 2.

Summary of the model examining the factors that may affect the probability of winning a BGC. (The two groups have different estimates for the different variables (relative current and mean annual NDVI, distance to core, and intensity of use and core area). The analysis takes the perspective of the focal group (followed by observer). Accordingly, if an estimate is positive, it shows a lower likelihood of the focal group winning a BGC, while a negative estimate indicates a higher likelihood of the focal group winning a BGC. Statistically significant results are shown in italics.)

model outcome (winning/losing): χ215 = 37.69, p-value = 0.001
predictor	estimate ± s.e.	CIlower – CIupper	p–value
(intercept)	−0.486 ± 0.152	−0.743 to 0.304	a
number of adult females in focal group	−0.060 ± 0.394	−0.8322 to 0.711	0.879
number of adult females in encounter group	−1.361 ± 0.387	−2.119 to −0.602	<0.001
relative current NDVI for focal group	0.107 ± 0.255	−0.393 to 0.606	0.674
relative current NDVI for encounter group	−0.015 ± 0.238	−0.481 to 0.450	0.948
relative annual NDVI for focal group	−0.202 ± 0.861	−1.889 to 1.485	0.816
relative annual NDVI for encounter group	0.176 ± 0.857	−1.504 to 1.857	0.839
distance to core area for focal group	0.317 ± 0.146	0.031 to 0.603	0.028
distance to core area for encounter group	0.205 ± 0.149	−0.086 to 0.497	0.163
intensity of use by focal group	−0.210 ± 0.171	−0.544 to 0.125	0.217
intensity of use by encounter group	−0.151 ± 0.166	−0.476 to 0.175	0.408
n adult females (focal group * encounter group)	−0.220 ± 0.267	−0.631 to 0.191	0.288
relative current NDVI (focal group * encounter group)	−0.281 ± 0.143	−0.561 to −0.001	0.029
relative annual NDVI (focal group * encounter group)	0.124 ± 0.169	−0.207 to 0.456	0.461
distance to core area (focal group * encounter group)	−0.081 ± 0.155	−0.385 to 0.223	0.601
intensity of use (focal group * encounter group)	0.078 ± 0.188	−0.289 to 0.445	0.677

^aNot shown owing to having a very limited interpretation.