Table 4:
Discrete-time event-history results for marital dissolution (within first five years of marriage)
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||||||||||||||
| Variables (reference) | B | OR | 95% CI | B | OR | 95% CI | B | OR | 95% CI | B | OR | 95% CI | B | OR | 95% CI |
| Marital duration (1 year) | |||||||||||||||
| 2 years | 0.32 | 1.38 | 1.08–1.76 | 0.34 | 1.41 | 1.11–1.80 | 0.35 | 1.42 | 1.11–1.82 | 0.35 | 1.41 | 1.11–1.80 | 0.35 | 1.42 | 1.11–1.82 |
| 3 years | 0.15 | 1.16 | 0.92–1.45 | 0.18 | 1.20 | 0.96–1.51 | 0.20 | 1.23 | 0.97–1.55 | 0.19 | 1.21 | 0.96–1.52 | 0.21 | 1.23 | 0.98–1.55 |
| 4 years | 0.14 | 1.15 | 0.90–1.47 | 0.19 | 1.21 | 0.95–1.55 | 0.23 | 1.26 | 0.98–1.61 | 0.20 | 1.22 | 0.95–1.55 | 0.24 | 1.27 | 0.99–1.62 |
| 5 years | 0.16 | 1.17 | 0.88–1.55 | 0.21 | 1.24 | 0.93–1.64 | 0.26 | 1.30 | 0.98–1.73 | 0.22 | 1.24 | 0.94–1.65 | 0.27 | 1.31 | 0.98–1.74 |
| Marital cohort (2000–2004) | |||||||||||||||
| 2005–2009 | 0.08 | 1.09 | 0.90–1.31 | 0.14 | 1.15 | 0.96–1.39 | 0.18 | 1.20 | 0.99–1.45 | 0.38 | 1.46 | 0.86–2.49 | 0.59 | 1.81 | 1.05–3.11 |
| 2010–2014 | −0.37 | 0.69 | 0.55–0.87 | −0.29 | 0.75 | 0.60–0.94 | −0.23 | 0.79 | 0.63–1.00 | 0.50 | 1.64 | 0.89–3.05 | 0.69 | 1.99 | 1.05–3.78 |
| Educational attainment (less than HS) | |||||||||||||||
| HS degree | −0.12 | 0.89 | 0.68–1.18 | −0.05 | 0.95 | 0.71–1.27 | 0.15 | 1.16 | 0.73–1.85 | 0.30 | 1.35 | 0.82–2.20 | |||
| Some college | −0.27 | 0.76 | 0.58–1.00 | −0.06 | 0.94 | 0.70–1.28 | −0.14 | 0.87 | 0.55–1.36 | 0.19 | 1.21 | 0.74–1.98 | |||
| College degree | −1.23 | 0.29 | 0.22–0.40 | −0.43 | 0.65 | 0.44–0.95 | −0.76 | 0.47 | 0.28–0.77 | 0.13 | 1.14 | 0.65–2.01 | |||
| Interactions (2000–2004 × Less than HS) | |||||||||||||||
| 2005–2009 × Less than HS | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||||||
| 2005–2009 × HS degree | −0.30 | 0.74 | 0.40–1.39 | −0.45 | 0.64 | 0.34–1.21 | |||||||||
| 2005–2009 × Some college | −0.08 | 0.92 | 0.50–1.70 | −0.30 | 0.74 | 0.40–1.38 | |||||||||
| 2005–2009 × College degree | −0.56 | 0.57 | 0.29–1.11 | −0.76 | 0.47 | 0.24–0.92 | |||||||||
| 2010–2014 × Less than HS | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||||||
| 2010–2014 × HS degree | −0.85 | 0.43 | 0.21–0.89 | −1.00 | 0.37 | 0.17–0.78 | |||||||||
| 2010–2014 × Some college | −0.69 | 0.50 | 0.25–1.03 | −0.86 | 0.42 | 0.20–0.88 | |||||||||
| 2010–2014 × College degree | −1.27 | 0.28 | 0.13–0.61 | −1.38 | 0.25 | 0.11–0.55 | |||||||||
| Age at marriage | |||||||||||||||
| Age married | −0.44 | 0.64 | 0.53–0.78 | −0.46 | 0.63 | 0.52–0.76 | |||||||||
| Age married (squared) | 0.01 | 1.01 | 1.00–1.01 | 0.01 | 1.01 | 1.00–1.01 | |||||||||
| Relationship behaviors | |||||||||||||||
| Cohabited with husband (did not) | −0.02 | 0.98 | 0.81–1.20 | −0.01 | 0.99 | 0.82–1.21 | |||||||||
| Cohabited with other (did not) | −0.06 | 0.94 | 0.75–1.18 | −0.06 | 0.94 | 0.75–1.18 | |||||||||
| Had premarital birth (did not) | 0.81 | 2.25 | 1.84–2.75 | 0.81 | 2.25 | 1.84–2.76 | |||||||||
| Race / Ethnicity (White) | |||||||||||||||
| Black | 0.74 | 2.09 | 1.67–2.62 | 0.73 | 2.08 | 1.66–2.61 | |||||||||
| Hispanic | −0.31 | 0.74 | 0.58–0.94 | −0.33 | 0.72 | 0.56–0.92 | |||||||||
| Other | −0.91 | 0.83 | 0.55–1.24 | −0.18 | 0.84 | 0.56–1.25 | |||||||||
| Urbanicity of residence (Urban) | |||||||||||||||
| Suburb | −0.15 | 0.86 | 0.71–1.04 | −0.15 | 0.86 | 0.71–1.04 | |||||||||
| Rural | −0.02 | 0.98 | 0.76–1.25 | −0.02 | 0.98 | 0.76–1.25 | |||||||||
| Constant | −3.37 | 0.03 | 0.03–0.04 | −2.94 | 0.05 | 0.04–0.07 | 2.89 | 18.01 | 1.93–168.13 | −3.16 | 0.04 | 0.03–0.06 | 2.84 | 17.14 | 1.84–160.08 |
| Person-years | 28,356 | 28,356 | 28,356 | 28,356 | 28,356 | ||||||||||
| χ2 | 107.99 | 12.33 | 233.77 | ||||||||||||
Notes: χ2 shows results from the goodness-of-fit tests for each subsequent model. 95% confidence interval is based on odds ratio. All values are weighted.