Table 2.
Interaction analysis results
| Dependent variable: Local currency debt (expressed as a share of total external debt), Hausmann transformation | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) |
| Lagged dependent variable | 0.535*** | 0.487*** | 0.460*** | 0.506*** | 0.317*** | 0.550** | 0.386*** |
| 5.07 | 6.37 | 6.14 | 5.54 | 3.22 | 7.00 | 6.18 | |
| Fx turnover | 1.371* | 21.028 | 1.831* | 1.246* | − 9.727 | 1.003 | 0.760 |
| 1.88 | 1.50 | 1.67 | 1.74 | − 1.50 | 0.22 | 1.50 | |
| Economic size | 1.365* | 1.306*** | − 20.277* | − 1.564 | − 3.026** | − 1.895 | − 2.821 |
| 1.72 | 2.37 | − 1.83 | − 0.84 | − 2.04 | − 0.89 | − 1.13 | |
| Trade openess | − 0.024 | 0.049** | − 0.035 | − 0.042 | 0.011 | − 0.013 | − 0.000 |
| − 1.58 | 2.16 | − 0.84 | − 1.39 | 0.41 | − 1.26 | − 0.03 | |
| Financial depth | 0.010** | 0.040** | 0.021** | 0.021*** | 0.042** | 0.026* | 0.030*** |
| 2.32 | 2.19 | 3.14 | 3.43 | 2.15 | 1.72 | 3.05 | |
| Capital account openess | − 57.070 | ||||||
| − 0.89 | |||||||
| FX volatility | − 0.106 | ||||||
| − 0.14 | |||||||
| Current account | 0.034** | − 0.024 | 0.030* | 0.034** | − 0.012 | 0.036 | 0.002 |
| 1.98 | − 0.09 | 1.87 | 2.17 | − 0.65 | 1.41 | 0.15 | |
| VIX | − 0.006*** | − 0.002* | − 0.003** | − 0.003** | − 0.003*** | − 0.007*** | − 0.002* |
| − 3.99 | − 1.86 | − 2.36 | − 2.01 | − 2.40 | − 2.48 | − 1.79 | |
| Governance | 0.225 | − 0.162 | 0.245 | 1.414* | − 0.006 | − 0.612 | − 1.147 |
| 1.53 | − 0.42 | 0.69 | 1.82 | − 0.04 | − 0.64 | − 0.85 | |
| Fx turnover2 | − 128.37 | ||||||
| − 1.40 | |||||||
| Economic size2 | 25.247* | ||||||
| 1.74 | |||||||
| Governance2 | 1.850 | ||||||
| 1.04 | |||||||
| Fxturnover*Economic size | 24.023* | ||||||
| 1.54 | |||||||
| Fxturnover*Governance | 8.760** | ||||||
| 1.98 | |||||||
| Economic size*Governance | 4.578* | ||||||
| 1.69 | |||||||
| Country specific effects | yes | yes | yes | yes | yes | yes | yes |
| CD test statistics | 2.93 | 3.71 | 1.67 | 0.35 | 2.10 | 2.82 | 1.01 |
| p-value | 0.034 | 0.000 | 0.009 | 0.723 | 0.035 | 0.004 | 0.311 |
| Number of obs | 588 | 588 | 576 | 588 | 576 | 576 | 576 |
| R2 adjusted | 0.69 | 0.67 | 0.75 | 0.80 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| F-test | F(204,384) prob > F = 0.00 | F(192,396) prob > F = 0.00 | F(216,360) prob > F = 0.00 | F(192,396) prob > F = 0.00 | F(312,264) prob > F = 0.00 | F(264,312) prob > F = 0.00 | F(264,312) prob > F = 0.00 |
z-stats are in italics
*significant at 10%, **significant at 5%, ***significant at 1%
Countries included are Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru, India, Indonesia, Thailand, South Korea, South Africa, Turkey
Dynamic Common Correlated Effects with heterogenous coefficients. Constant not reported