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. 2022 Jan;141:54–63. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2021.09.020

Table 2.

Body mass index trajectories.

Trajectory-group Curve order Curve parameters
Group size, N (%) Posterior probability
Intercept Linear Quadratic Cubic
1 1 20.02 0.0065 N/A 68 (7.2) 0.96
2 1 22.10 0.0948 N/A 216 (23.0) 0.96
3 3 23.94 0.3509 -0.0217 0.0006 260 (27.7) 0.94
4 3 26.36 0.4534 -0.0336 0.0010 205 (21.9) 0.95
5 2 29.18 0.4178 -0.0096 N/A 118 (12.6) 0.97
6 2 33.25 0.4380 -0.0122 N/A 59 (6.3) 0.99
7 2 41.29 0.5606 -0.0278 N/A 12 (1.3) 1.00

N/A, not applicable. The model was created using 11 repeated measures of body mass index at follow-up years 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10, 15 and 20. Group 1 and 2 are normal-weighted and used together as a reference. The remaining five groups are labelled as slightly overweight (group 3), lower overweight-to-obese (group 4), upper overweight-to-obese (group 5), lower obese (group 6), and upper obese (group 7).