Table 6.
Time-dependent AUCs and Brier Scores for the Different Survival Models in Younger (≤70 Years) and Older (>70 Years) Patients.
| Model | Time (y) | ≥70 y (N = 179) | <70 y (N = 302) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUC | Brier Score | AUC | Brier Score | ||
| 17 genes (PC1 + PC2 + PC3 + PC4) | 0.5 | 54.50 | 0, 099 | 75.42 | 0, 044 |
| 17 genes (PC1 + PC2 + PC3 + PC4) | 1 | 64.85 | 0, 145 | 71.92 | 0, 095 |
| 17 genes (PC1 + PC2 + PC3 + PC4) | 2 | 63.87 | 0, 181 | 74.01 | 0, 117 |
| 17 genes (PC1 + PC2 + PC3 + PC4) | 5 | 65.13 | 0, 221 | 68.08 | 0, 154 |
| COO + MHG | 0.5 | 45.11 | 0, 103 | 58.17 | 0, 045 |
| COO + MHG | 1 | 54.23 | 0, 158 | 63.89 | 0, 098 |
| COO + MHG | 2 | 56.81 | 0, 196 | 67.01 | 0, 121 |
| COO + MHG | 5 | 54.76 | 0, 243 | 66.71 | 0, 155 |
| IPI score | 0.5 | 68.75 | 0, 098 | 78.00 | 0, 042 |
| IPI score | 1 | 73.43 | 0, 147 | 73.93 | 0, 091 |
| IPI score | 2 | 70.93 | 0, 182 | 76.11 | 0, 110 |
| IPI score | 5 | 68.50 | 0, 223 | 74.06 | 0, 142 |
| IPI score + 17 genes (PC1 + PC2 + PC3 + PC4) | 0.5 | 60.30 | 0, 096 | 81.93 | 0, 039 |
| IPI score + 17 genes (PC1 + PC2 + PC3 + PC4) | 1 | 70.01 | 0, 140 | 78.06 | 0, 084 |
| IPI score + 17 genes (PC1 + PC2 + PC3 + PC4) | 2 | 69.56 | 0, 173 | 81.30 | 0, 100 |
| IPI score + 17 genes (PC1 + PC2 + PC3 + PC4) | 5 | 68.96 | 0, 213 | 77.80 | 0, 133 |
| IPI score + COO + MHG | 0.5 | 59.42 | 0, 100 | 74.88 | 0, 041 |
| IPI score + COO + MHG | 1 | 68.64 | 0, 147 | 75.01 | 0, 088 |
| IPI score + COO + MHG | 2 | 68.79 | 0, 180 | 79.48 | 0, 105 |
| IPI score + COO + MHG | 5 | 65.98 | 0, 225 | 78.40 | 0, 133 |
| IPI score + COO + MHG + 17 genes (PC1 + PC2 + PC3 + PC4) | 0.5 | 57.31 | 0, 099 | 78.36 | 0, 039 |
| IPI score + COO + MHG + 17 genes (PC1 + PC2 + PC3 + PC4) | 1 | 68.11 | 0, 144 | 76.40 | 0, 085 |
| IPI score + COO + MHG + 17 genes (PC1 + PC2 + PC3 + PC4) | 2 | 67.60 | 0, 177 | 80.89 | 0, 100 |
| IPI score + COO + MHG + 17 genes (PC1 + PC2 + PC3 + PC4) | 5 | 66.48 | 0, 221 | 78.82 | 0, 131 |
Evaluated time points were 6 mo and 1, 2, and 5 y after diagnosis.
AUC = area under the curve; COO = cell-of-origin; IPI = International Prognostic Index; MHG = molecular high-grade; PC = principal component.