Table 2.
Regional female mortality statistics: comparison of ordinary least squares (OLS) linear regression predicted mortality (predicted value) and observed mortality of 2020 (observed value) in Italy. The data are normalized to 10,000 people (deaths per 10,000).
| Italian region | Predicted value | Predicted value SE | Observed value | Excess, % (SE) | P valuea | Adjusted P valuea |
| Italy | 68.3 | 3.9 | 77.9 | 14.1 (6.6) | .005 | .12 |
| Piemonte | 70.8 | 4 | 84.1 | 18.8 (6.8) | .001 | .02 |
| Valle d’Aosta | 69.9 | 9.8 | 88.9 | 27.1 (19.3) | .02 | .38 |
| Lombardia | 64.3 | 3.5 | 84.2 | 30.9 (7.2) | <.001 | .006 |
| Bolzano | 60.5 | 3.6 | 73.9 | 22.1 (7.4) | <.001 | .01 |
| Trento | 59.4 | 2.8 | 73.4 | 23.6 (5.9) | <.001 | .001 |
| Veneto | 64.2 | 3.8 | 72.8 | 13.4 (6.9) | .009 | .20 |
| Friuli Venezia Giulia | 64.2 | 2.8 | 72.6 | 13 (5) | .001 | .05 |
| Liguria | 67.4 | 4.3 | 79.3 | 17.7 (7.6) | .002 | .06 |
| Emilia-Romagna | 66.1 | 3.3 | 75.6 | 14.4 (5.7) | .002 | .05 |
| Toscana | 65.4 | 3.7 | 71.2 | 8.9 (6.3) | .07 | .80 |
| Umbria | 63.2 | 4 | 67 | 6.1 (6.8) | .43 | .99 |
| Marche | 64 | 4.7 | 71.8 | 12.2 (8.5) | .05 | .68 |
| Lazio | 67.8 | 4.7 | 71.9 | 6 (7.5) | .56 | .99 |
| Abruzzo | 67.6 | 4.6 | 72 | 6.5 (7.4) | .43 | .99 |
| Molise | 66.4 | 5.1 | 74.7 | 12.6 (8.9) | .06 | .73 |
| Campania | 80.3 | 5.7 | 85.1 | 6 (7.7) | N/Ab | N/A |
| Puglia | 68.5 | 4.7 | 76.5 | 11.6 (7.8) | .04 | .65 |
| Basilicata | 71.5 | 4.7 | 74.4 | 4.1 (7) | .40 | .99 |
| Calabria | 71.7 | 4.4 | 75.1 | 4.8 (6.5) | .79 | .99 |
| Sicilia | 78 | 5.9 | 83.4 | 7 (8.3) | .47 | .99 |
| Sardegna | 64 | 3.4 | 71.5 | 11.6 (5.9) | .008 | .19 |
aGrubbs test.
bN/A: not available.