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. 2022 Apr 1;11(7):1973. doi: 10.3390/jcm11071973

Table 3.

Predicted probability of survival for different follow-up durations.

Time Probability of Survival (S0(t)) after Recalibration Probability of Survival (S0(t)) Reported by Cadrin-Tourigny
1-year 0.780 0.921
2-year 0.671 0.876
3-year 0.610 0.849
4-year 0.584 0.837
5-year 0.512 0.801

Taking 5-year risk as an example, P (VA at 5 years) = 1 − 0.801 0.512exp (LP) where LP = 0.488 × sex − 0.022 × age + 0.657 × history of recent cardiac syncope + 0.811 × history of NSVT + 0.170 × ln(24 h PVC count) + 0.113 × sum of anterior and inferior leads with T-wave inversion − 0.025 × RVEF.