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. 2022 Apr 5;72(718):e361–e368. doi: 10.3399/BJGP.2021.0552

Table 4.

The 1-year cumulative incidence of cancers in participants aged ≥70 years with abdominal pain plus another feature of possible cancer, stratified by sexa

Additional feature and cancer Women Men

1-year incidence (%) 95% CI 1-year incidence (%) 95% CI
Constipation
Colorectal or pancreatic 1.9b 1.3 to 2.7b 4.9d 3.7 to 6.4d
Colorectal 1.3b 0.8 to 1.9b 3.8d 2.7 to 5.0d
Pancreatic 0.6 0.3 to 1.1 1.2b 0.6 to 2.0b

Diarrhoea
Colorectal or pancreatic 2.0c 1.4 to 2.9 c 3.6d 2.3 to 5.3d
Colorectal 1.7b 1.1 to 2.5b 3.3d 2.0 to 4.9d
Pancreatic 0.3 0.1 to 0.8 0.3 0.0 to 1.1

Change in bowel habit
Colorectal or ovarian 5d 3 to 8d n/a n/a
Colorectal 4d 2 to 6d n/a n/a
Ovarian 1.5b 0.5 to 3.5b n/a n/a

Nausea and/or vomiting
Pancreatic or oesophagogastric 1.1b 0.7 to 1.8b 3.6d 2.2 to 5.4d
Pancreatic 0.5 0.2 to 1.1 2.2c 1.2 to 3.8c
Oesophagogastric 0.6 0.3 to 1.1 1.4b 0.6 to 2.7b

Abdominal mass
Colorectal, ovarian, oesophagogastric, or liver 20d 12 to 30d 9d 3 to 19d
Colorectal 12d 6 to 21d 5d 1 to 15d
Oesophagogastric 0 4d 0 to 12d
Ovarian 7d 3 to 15d n/a
Liver 1b 0 to 6b 0

Weight loss
Colorectal, ovarian, pancreatic or oesophagogastric 5d 3 to 8d 9d 6 to 14d
Colorectal 1.6b 0.5 to 3.7b 4d 2 to 8d
Ovarian 0.9 0.2 to 2.7 n/a
Pancreatic 1.3b 0.3 to 3.2b 3d 1 to 6d
Oesophagogastric 0.9 0.2 to 2.7 3d 1 to 6d
a

For each feature, the total risk and that of individual cancers is reported.

b

Cancer risk1% and <2%.

c

Cancer risk2% and <3%.

d

Cancer risk3%. CI = confidence interval. n/a = not applicable.