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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Apr 12.
Published in final edited form as: JAMA. 2012 Mar 16;307(12):1273–1283. doi: 10.1001/jama.2012.339

Table 3.

Adjusted Hazard Ratio and Population-Attributable Faction of Cardiovascular Health Metrics and Risk of All-Cause Mortality—NHANES III Linked Mortality File

Cardiovascular Health Metrica Cases/Participants HR (95% CI)
Adjusted PAF (95% CI)c
Age-, Sex-, and Race/Ethnicity–Adjusted Fully Adjustedb
Current smoking
 Yes 691/3542 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]

 No 1982/9770 0.46 (0.40–0.52) 0.49 (0.42–0.57) 24.5 (17.9–30.9)

Physical activity
 No 1722/8316 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]

 Yes 951/4996 0.79 (0.74–0.86) 0.85 (0.77–0.93) 10.9 (3.0–18.7)

BMId
 ≥25 1678/8160 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]

 <25 995/5152 1.04 (0.93–1.16) 1.04 (0.93–1.17) NA

Healthy diet score
 <2 components 1919/10 245 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]

 ≥2 components 754/3067 0.83 (0.73–0.95) 0.94 (0.83–1.07) 1.8 (0.0–15.2)

Total serum cholesterol, mg/dL
 ≥200 1669/6831 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]

 <200 (untreated) 1004/6481 1.23 (1.11–1.37) 1.28 (1.15–1.42) NA

Blood pressure, mm Hg
 ≥120/≥80 2297/7947 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]

 <120/<80 (untreated) 376/5365 0.79 (0.66–0.94) 0.81 (0.68–0.95) 30.4 (19.4–40.6)

HbA1c, %e
 ≥5.7 1144/3233 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]

 <5.7 1529/10 079 0.69 (0.63–0.75) 0.73 (0.67–0.80) 10.5 (6.2–14.7)

Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CVD, cardiovascular disease; HbA1c, glycated hemoglobin; HR, hazard ratio; IHD, ischemic heart disease; NA, not available; NHANES, National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey; PAF, population-attributable fraction.

SI conversion factors: To convert total cholesterol values to mmol/L, multiply by 0.0259.

a

Each cardiovascular health metric was dichotomized by the ideal category of American Heart Association definitions, with the exceptions of the healthy diet score and smoking: (never and former smoking vs current smoking); (ideal physical activity vs others) + (BMI <25 vs others) + (healthy diet score ≥2 vs <2 components) + (total cholesterol <200 mg/dL untreated vs others) + (blood pressure <120/<80 mm Hg untreated vs others) + (HbA1c <5.7% vs others).

b

Adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, educational attainment, alcohol intake, family history of CVD, smoking status, physical activity, BMI, healthy diet score, total cholesterol level, blood pressure, and HbA1cvalue.

c

Adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, educational attainment, alcohol intake, family history of CVD, smoking status, physical activity, BMI, healthy diet score, total cholesterol level, blood pressure, and HbA1c value. Sum of individual PAFs can sum to more than the overall PAF (Table 3), because some individuals with more than 1 risk factor could have cardiovascular disease deaths postponed in more than 1 way, and the postponed deaths of these individuals could be counted more than once. The individual PAFs cannot be calculated for the cardiovascular health metrics with adjusted HRs of 1.0 or greater (eg, BMI or total cholesterol level), and the negative values of the lower 95% CI of the PAF were rounded to zero.

d

Calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared.

e

An HbA1c value less than 5.7% was used as a proxy for a fasting glucose level less than 100 mg/dL.