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. 2022 Apr 16;39:100567. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100567

Table 2.

Sensitivity analyses assessing the effectiveness of three types of SARS-CoV-2 treatments. For each treatment type, effectiveness is assessed at two different values of the basic reproduction number (3 and 6), proportion of the population ever infected at onset of treatment (20% and 50%), treatment coverage (50% and 80%), and treatment efficacy (50% and 80%). Treatment effectiveness is also assessed by combining these values to yield the worst-case scenario and best-case scenario for treatment effectiveness.

Basic reproduction number
Proportion of the population ever infected at onset of treatment
Treatment coverage
Primary treatment efficacy
Worst scenarioa Best scenariob
3.0 6.0 20% 50% 50% 80% 50% 80% Combination Combination
Number of treatments needed to avert one severe or critical disease case
Severe and critical infection treatment 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.3 2.0 1.3
Post-exposure prophylactic treatment 81.4 231.5 48.0 25.6 100.0 81.4 81.4 22.2 183.7 25.1
Pre-exposure prophylactic treatment 46.1 50.8 43.1 47.4 51.3 46.1 46.1 24.4 46.8 30.2
a

Combination of parameter values to yield the worst-case scenario for treatment effectiveness.

b

Combination of parameter values to yield the best-case scenario for treatment effectiveness.