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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Apr 17.
Published in final edited form as: Alzheimers Dement. 2021 May 27;17(12):1966–1975. doi: 10.1002/alz.12362

Table 3.

Projected Number of People in the United States (in millions) with Clinical AD (in Millions) 2020 to 2060, by Race/ethnicity and Year

Year Non-Hispanic White Hispanic African American Total
Estimate (95% CI) Estimate (95% CI) Estimate (95% CI) Estimate (95% CI)
Number of People with Clinical AD (millions)
2020 4.30 (4.12, 4.48) 0.71 (0.61, 0.81) 1.06 (1.03, 1.09) 6.07 (5.75, 6.38)
2021 4.40 (4.21, 4.58) 0.76 (0.64, 0.85) 1.10 (1.07, 1.14) 6.25 (5.92, 6.58)
2022 4.53 (4.30, 4.68) 0.79 (0.67, 0.90) 1.15 (1.11, 1.19) 6.46 (6.12, 6.80)
2023 4.67 (4.47, 4.86) 0.83 (0.71, 0.95) 1.20 (1.17, 1.24) 6.70 (6.34, 7.05)
2024 4.80 (4.59, 5.00) 0.87 (0.74, 1.00) 1.26 (1.22, 1.30) 6.93 (6.56, 7.29)
2025 4.93 (4.72, 5.13) 0.92 (0.79, 1.06) 1.31 (1.27, 1.36) 7.16 (6.78, 7.55)
2030 5.72 (5.48, 5.95) 1.19 (1.02, 1.37) 1.61 (1.57, 1.67) 8.53 (8.07, 8.99)
2040 7.03 (6.76, 7.30) 1.90 (1.63, 2.18) 2.23 (2.17, 2.29) 11.16 (10.55, 11.77)
2050 7.29 (7.02, 7.56) 2.77 (2.38, 3.16) 2.66 (2.58, 2.73) 12.73 (11.99, 13.46)
2060 7.03 (6.77, 7.30) 3.72 (3.20, 4.23) 3.10 (3.01, 3.19) 13.85 (12.98, 14.71)
Number of People with Mild Cognitive Impairment (millions)
2020 9.10 (8.95, 9.24) 1.30 (1.22, 1.37) 1.84 (1.81, 1.86) 12.23 (11.99, 12.47)
2021 9.34 (9.19, 9.49) 1.37 (1.30, 1.45) 1.92 (1.90, 1.94) 12.64 (12.39, 12.89)
2022 9.61 (9.46, 9.77) 1.45 (1.37, 1.53) 2.01 (1.99, 2.03) 13.08 (12.82, 13.33)
2023 9.88 (9.72, 10.03) 1.53 (1.45, 1.62) 2.10 (2.07, 2.12) 13.51 (13.24, 13.77)
2024 10.12 (9.96, 10.28) 1.62 (1.53, 1.71) 2.19 (2.16, 2.21) 13.93 (13.65, 14.20)
2025 10.38 (10.20, 10.54) 1.71 (1.62, 1.81) 2.28 (2.25, 2.31) 14.37 (14.08, 14.65)
2030 11.36 (11.18, 11.54) 2.19 (2.08, 2.32) 2.70 (2.67, 2.73) 16.26 (15.92, 16.59)
2040 11.67 (11.49, 11.86) 3.26 (3.08, 3.44) 3.23 (3.19, 3.26) 18.16 (17.76, 18.57)
2050 11.24 (11.06, 11.42) 4.40 (4.16, 4.64) 3.64 (3.60, 3.68) 19.29 (18.82, 19.75)
2060 11.46 (11.27, 11.64) 5.64 (5.33, 5.60) 4.45 (4.40, 4.50) 21.55 (21.00, 22.10)