Table 1.

Incidence rates and cumulative incidence of obesity and type 2 diabetes in the ViLA-Obesity model (n = 98,230).

ALL
	Obesity (2–65)	Obesity childhood (2–17)	Obesity adulthood (18–65)	Type 2 diabetes adulthood (18–65)
Total number	98,230	98,230	98,230	98,230
Events	87,625	31,544	79,606	52,426
Person-years (py)	3,183,963	1,415,891	2,847,196	4,099,783
Incidence rate (per 1,000 py)	27.5 (27.3, 27.7)	22.3 (22.0, 22.5)	28.0 (27.8, 28.2)	12.8 (12.7, 12.9)
Cumulative incidence	89.2% (89.0%, 89.4%)	32.1% (31.8%, 32.4%)	81.0% (80.8%, 81.3%)	53.4% (53.1%, 53.7%)
Whites
Total number	35,862	35,862	35,862	35,862
Events	31,072	10,023	28,067	14,162
Person-years (py)	1,245,482	523,022	1,090,448	1,571,629
Incidence rate (per 1,000 py)	25.0 (24.7, 25.2)	19.2 (18.8, 19.5)	25.7 (25.4, 26.0)	9.0 (8.9, 9.2)
Cumulative incidence	86.6% (86.3%, 87.0%)	28.0% (27.5%, 28.4%)	78.3% (77.8%, 78.7%)	39.5% (38.9%, 40.0%)
Non-whites
Total number	62,368	62,368	62,368	62,368
Events	56,553	21,521	51,539	38,264
Person-years (py)	1,938,481	892,869	1,756,748	2,528,154
Incidence rate (per 1,000 py)	29.2 (28.9, 29.4)	24.1 (23.8, 24.4)	29.3 (29.1, 29.6)	15.1 (15.0, 15.3)
Cumulative incidence	90.7% (90.4%, 90.9%)	34.5% (34.1%, 34.9%)	82.6% (82.3%, 89.3%)	61.4% (61.0%, 61.7%)

The incidence measures were calculated for first-time diagnosis of obesity or type 2 diabetes among at-risk individuals.