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. 2022 Apr 19;157:102882. doi: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2022.102882

Table 5.

Shelter-at-home policies.

Benchmark 6-week late
Immediate lockdown
lockdown
25%, all 25%, slums 25%, non-slum 75%, all 25%, all
26 weeks 26 weeks 26 weeks 35 weeks 26 weeks
Wks to peak srsly ill (slum) 10.00 14.00 13.00 11.00 66.00 11.00
Wks to peak srsly ill (other) 11.00 16.00 14.00 12.00 67.00 12.00
Srsly ill p/1000 @ peak (slum) 1.88 1.07 1.11 1.86 1.88 1.10
Srsly ill p/1000 @ peak (other) 0.77 0.48 0.71 0.57 0.77 0.48
Dead p/1000 1year (slum) 10.04 9.21 9.13 10.00 0.00 8.68
Dead p/1000 1year (other) 6.35 5.84 6.92 5.28 0.00 5.26
Dead p/1000 1year (all) 7.16 6.58 7.41 6.33 0.00 6.02
Dead p/1000 LR (slum) 10.11 9.51 9.29 10.19 10.10 9.29
Dead p/1000 LR (other) 6.57 6.48 7.22 5.91 6.56 6.34
Dead p/1000 LR (all) 7.35 7.15 7.68 6.86 7.35 7.00
Immune in LR (slum), % 74.33 73.58 70.96 76.68 74.36 73.29
Immune in LR (other), % 39.69 40.32 42.96 38.18 39.67 40.57
Immune in LR (all), % 47.36 47.69 49.16 46.71 47.35 47.82
GDP at peak - rel to BM 1.00 0.96 1.12 0.86 0.99 0.95
GDP 1year - rel to BM 1.00 0.87 0.98 0.89 0.47 0.87
Hrs @ home (slum) - peak 80.95 83.18 84.40 79.79 80.19 83.76
Hrs @ home (other) - peak 86.28 85.87 81.83 89.56 85.95 86.16
Hrs @ home (slum) - 6 m 66.03 78.32 79.22 63.80 105.84 77.22
Hrs @ home (other) - 6 m 69.40 79.79 70.83 78.39 105.84 78.36
Value - susceptible (slum) 1968.10 1964.40 1964.20 1968.20 1863.20 1964.40
Value - susceptible (other) 4317.40 4312.90 4315.30 4314.80 4213.00 4313.30
Value - susceptible (all) 3797.00 3792.70 3794.50 3795.00 3692.50 3793.10