Fig. 3.

Forecast results for Mexico city metropolitan area, using data from March 8 to April 12, 2020. (a) Confirmed cases (b) Confirmed deaths. Central red lines indicate the median incidence forecast. The darker shaded region indicates the interquartile forecast range, and the lighter shaded region indicates the 5–95th percentile range. The colors blue, green, and orange represent the forecast 1, 2, and 3 weeks ahead, respectively. Total population 21,942,666 inhabitants. (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.)