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. 2022 Apr;11(2):176–187. doi: 10.21037/hbsn-20-466

Table 2. Comparison of model performance between RSF model and 5 other models in predicting early recurrence.

Performance Cohort RSF ERASL Korean AJCC TNM BCLC Chinese
Discrimination
   Harrell’s C-index Training 0.725 (0.005) 0.706 (0.006) 0.658 (0.006) 0.674 (0.006) 0.635 (0.006) 0.684 (0.006)
Internal 0.762 (0.011) 0.726 (0.012) 0.672 (0.013) 0.711 (0.012) 0.646 (0.012) 0.709 (0.012)
External 0.747 (0.016) 0.727 (0.017) 0.722 (0.017) 0.711 (0.017) 0.658 (0.018) 0.696 (0.018)
   Gönen & Heller’s K Training 0.684 (0.005) 0.672 (0.005) 0.638 (0.006) 0.647 (0.005) 0.616 (0.004) 0.642 (0.004)
Internal 0.711 (0.008) 0.694 (0.010) 0.654 (0.011) 0.667 (0.008) 0.617 (0.008) 0.651 (0.008)
External 0.697 (0.014) 0.689 (0.015) 0.688 (0.015) 0.657 (0.014) 0.619 (0.013) 0.632 (0.013)
   Time-dependent AUC (2 years) Training 0.818 (0.008) 0.791 (0.008) 0.721 (0.009) 0.747 (0.008) 0.689 (0.008) 0.757 (0.008)
Internal 0.823 (0.014) 0.784 (0.016) 0.727 (0.017) 0.757 (0.015) 0.676 (0.014) 0.758 (0.016)
External 0.785 (0.025) 0.783 (0.025) 0.780 (0.025) 0.749 (0.026) 0.678 (0.025) 0.717 (0.027)
Clinical usefulness
   Net benefit at threshold 50% Training 0.166 0.154 0.093 0.139 0.137 0.137
Internal 0.121 0.092 0.041 0.095 0.073 0.073
External 0.206 0.190 0.222 0.185 0.154 0.154
Overall performance
   Time-dependent Brier (2 years) Training 0.147 0.156 0.174 0.160 0.167 0.161
Internal 0.129 0.143 0.159 0.144 0.154 0.146
External 0.156 0.162 0.161 0.169 0.180 0.176
   Time-dependent R2 (2 years) Training 0.287 0.239 0.142 0.220 0.175 0.214
Internal 0.306 0.233 0.145 0.220 0.150 0.206
External 0.235 0.225 0.230 0.187 0.125 0.140

The parentheses are standard errors. AUC, areas under receiver operating characteristic curve; RSF, random survival forests; ERASL, early recurrence after surgery for liver tumor; AJCC TNM, American Joint Committee on Cancer tumor-node-metastasis; BCLC, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer.