Tie et al. [21] |
Colon cancer Stage II (n = 230) |
Patients ctDNA positive after curative intent surgery are at high risk of recurrence (HR, 28).
Patients ctDNA positive at completion of adjuvant chemotherapy are at high risk of recurrence (HR,11; p ≤ 0.001).
|
Tie et al. [123] |
Colon cancer Stage III (n= 96) |
Patients ctDNA positive after surgery have poor outcomes despite adjuvant chemotherapy (3 years RFI 47% vs. 76% in those with ctDNA negative post-surgery) (HR, 3.8; p <0.001).
When ctDNA is detectable despite adjuvant chemotherapy, the risk of recurrence is higher than when ctDNA is undetectable after treatment (HR, 6.8; p <0.001).
|
Tie et al. [125] |
Rectal cancer Locally advanced (n = 159) |
After surgery, 11 of 19 (58%) patients with ctDNA positive and 12 of 140 (8.6%) with ctDNA negative had recurrence (HR, 13; p < 0.001).
Postoperative ctDNA detection was predictive of recurrence irrespective of adjuvant chemotherapy use (with chemo.: HR,10.0; p < 0.001; without chemo.: HR, 22.0; p < 0.001).
|
Tie et al. [126] |
CRC Stage II–III |
Meta-analysis; Studies from references: 21, 109, and 111 (n = 485). |
Reinert et al. [91] |
CRC Stage I–III (n = 130) |
ctDNA positive patients at day 30 postoperatively were 7 times more likely to have recurrence compared to ctDNA negative patients (HR, 7.2; p < 0.001).
ctDNA positive patients shortly after completion of chemotherapy had 17 times higher risk of recurrence compared with ctDNA negative ones (HR, 17.5; p < 0.001).
During surveillance, ctDNA positive patients were more than 40 times more likely to have recurrence than ctDNA negative patients (HR, 43.5; p < 0.001).
|
Tarazona et al. [23] |
Colon cancer Stage I–III (n = 150) |
Detection of ctDNA after surgery and in plasma samples during follow up were associated with poorer disease-free survival (HR, 17.56; p= 0.0014 and HR, 11.33; p = 0.0001, respectively).
ctDNA positive patients after adjuvant chemotherapy were at high risk of recurrence compared with ctDNA negative ones (HR, 10.02; p < 0.0001).
|
Scholer at al. [128] |
CRC Stages I–IV (n = 45) |
Patients with localized disease (Stages I-III) treated with curative intent and who were ctDNA positive within the first postoperative trimester had a high risk (100%) of relapse (HR, 37.7; p < 0.001); patients who were ctDNA negative were at a low risk of relapse (3-year RFS of 75%).
Stage IV patients with liver metastasis treated with curative intent who were ctDNA positive within the first postoperative trimester were at high risk of relapse (HR, 4.9; p = 0.007).
|
Wang et al. [129] |
CRC Stage I–III (n = 58) |
Patients ctDNA positive postoperatively had 77% (10 of 13 patients) recurrence versus 0% (0 of 45 patients) with negative ctDNA. Patients who remained ctDNA negative through follow up had no relapse.
Patients with ctDNA positive postoperatively could still be cured by chemotherapy.
|
Garlan et al. [132] |
CRC Stage IV (n = 82) |
|
Tie et al. [37] |
CRC IV Chem. naive (n = 53) |
Significant reduction in ctDNA (median 5.7-fold; p < 0.001) levels were observed before cycle 2 during first-line chemotherapy, which correlated with CT responses at 8–10 weeks.
Major reductions (>10-fold) versus lesser reduction in ctDNA pre-cycle 2 chemotherapy were associated with a trend for increased PFS (median 14.7 versus 8.1 months).
|