Table 1.
The average testing areas under curve (AUC) of the BRT models and predicted numbers, coverage areas and population sizes of affected counties for the 26 most prevalent mosquito species in China.
| Mosquito Species | Average AUC (2.5–97.5% Percentiles) | Predicted/Observed (Relative Difference %) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of Counties | Coverage Area (10 000 km 2) | Population Size (million) | ||
| Armigeres subalbatus c | 0.84 (0.79, 0.88) | 1324/373 (255.0) | 226.2/80.7 (180.3) | 739.8/216.3 (242.0) |
| Anopheles sinensis a,b,c | 0.87 (0.81, 0.92) | 1930/751 (157.0) | 361.5/182.5 (98.1) | 978.1/430.1 (127.4) |
| An. anthropophagus | 0.90 (0.87, 0.94) | 469/248 (89.1) | 81.8/51.2 (59.8) | 256.2/150.8 (69.9) |
| An. minimus | 0.86 (0.82, 0.89) | 631/236 (167.4) | 137.1/55.7 (146.1) | 290.1/131.7 (120.3) |
| An. maculatus | 0.88 (0.82, 0.93) | 282/124 (127.4) | 82.0/36.7 (123.4) | 108.2/51.5 (110.1) |
| An. pattoni | 0.87 (0.82, 0.93) | 411/117 (251.3) | 83.1/30.7 (170.7) | 181.3/63.7 (184.6) |
| An. lindesayi | 0.79 (0.72, 0.86) | 280/105 (166.7) | 75.2/31.7 (137.2) | 104.5/45.6 (129.2) |
| An. jeyporiensis | 0.91 (0.85, 0.95) | 242/104 (132.7) | 54.2/24.2 (124.0) | 120.1/57.6 (108.5) |
| An. tessellatus | 0.91 (0.87, 0.95) | 236/97 (143.3) | 52.4/22.3 (135.0) | 115.4/39.2 (194.4) |
| Culex tritaeniorhynchus a,c | 0.83 (0.77, 0.87) | 1924/587 (227.8) | 305.1/131.3 (132.4) | 1042.8/330.6 (215.4) |
| Cx. pipiens quinquefasciatus | 0.90 (0.85, 0.93) | 930/384 (142.2) | 193.5/87.0 (122.4) | 465.5/206.2 (125.8) |
| Cx. pipiens pallens a,c | 0.94 (0.91, 0.97) | 1695/381 (344.9) | 332.7/111.8 (197.6) | 856.9/234.0 (266.2) |
| Cx. bitaeniorhynchus | 0.68 (0.63, 0.73) | 560/250 (124.0) | 114.8/57.3 (100.3) | 275.2/136.2 (102.1) |
| Cx. vagans a,b | 0.77 (0.69, 0.84) | 1397/186 (651.1) | 582.6/78.0 (646.9) | 546.9/92.9 (488.7) |
| Cx. halifaxia | 0.76 (0.70, 0.82) | 590/161 (266.5) | 123.8/40.1 (208.7) | 285.1/78.1 (265.0) |
| Cx. modestus b | 0.93 (0.88, 0.96) | 561/133 (321.8) | 336.2/118.5 (183.7) | 184.8/57.1 (223.6) |
| Cx. fuscanus | 0.80 (0.74, 0.86) | 429/129 (232.6) | 85.0/29.0 (193.1) | 233.7/67.5 (246.2) |
| Cx. mimeticus | 0.75 (0.65, 0.84) | 402/123 (226.8) | 113.0/35.4 (219.2) | 151.4/54.4 (178.3) |
| Cx. pseudovishnui | 0.82 (0.75, 0.88) | 240/108 (122.2) | 65.8/31.1 (111.6) | 77.9/40.4 (92.8) |
| Cx. fuscocephala | 0.85 (0.75, 0.92) | 293/99 (196.0) | 72.8/33.2 (119.3) | 133.5/38.5 (246.8) |
| Cx. whitmorei | 0.77 (0.70, 0.84) | 261/95 (174.7) | 59.5/24.8 (139.9) | 106.5/42.0 (153.6) |
| Cx. mimulus | 0.76 (0.68, 0.82) | 459/82 (459.8) | 158.1/20.7 (663.8) | 200.0/37.3 (436.2) |
| Aedes albopictus a,c | 0.87 (0.83, 0.90) | 1374/555 (147.6) | 197.0/102.7 (91.8) | 796.9/343.5 (132.0) |
| Ae. vexans b | 0.82 (0.76, 0.87) | 953/247 (285.8) | 436.5/140.8 (210.0) | 329.7/107.9 (205.6) |
| Ae. dorsalis b | 0.93 (0.89, 0.96) | 624/111 (462.2) | 390.7/120.7 (223.7) | 211.4/47.3 (346.9) |
| Ae. aegypti | 0.95 (0.84, 1.00) | 103/30 (243.3) | 23.1/7.8 (196.2) | 62.3/15.1 (312.6) |
a Top 5 mosquito species affecting the greatest numbers of counties. b Top 5 mosquito species affecting the widest areas. c Top 5 mosquito species affecting the largest population sizes. The predicted numbers are compared with the actual observations from field surveys and the relative differences (%) are given in parentheses.