Table 3.
Fatality and utility used in base-case analysis.
| Model parameter | Base-case value (raw) | Base-case value (%/year) | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fatality | |||
| Heart failure | 4/1,223 | 0.32% | Beta |
| Myocardial infarction | 0/61 | 0.00% | Beta |
| Ischemic stroke | 2/92 | 2.17% | Beta |
| Intracranial hemorrhage | 1/8 | 12.50% | Beta |
| GI bleeding | 1/54 | 1.85% | Beta |
| Utility | |||
| Warfarin (20) | 0.987 | 0.987 | Gamma |
| Rivaroxaban (20) | 0.994 | 0.994 | Gamma |
| Dabigatran (21) | 0.970 | 0.970 | Gamma |
| Apixaban (21) | 0.998 | 0.998 | Gamma |
| Edoxaban (21) | 0.998 | 0.998 | Gamma |
| Heart failure (22) | 0.69 | 0.69 | Beta |
| Myocardial infarction (23) | 0.84 | 0.84 | Beta |
| Ischemic stroke (24) | 0.41 | 0.41 | Beta |
| Intracranial hemorrhage (24) | 0.56 | 0.56 | Beta |
| GI bleeding (25) | 0.70 | 0.70 | Beta |
GI, gastrointestinal.