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. 2020 Feb 6;48(2):301–321. doi: 10.1080/02664763.2020.1723506

Table 3. Posterior predictive validation of the models.

  Observed Basic model Scaled IW model
Teams Scored Conc'd Wins Points Scored Conc'd Wins Points Scored Conc'd Wins Points
Bergamo 1848 2025 7 19 1846 2020 7 21 1847 2020 7 21
Busto Arsizio 1999 1927 12 39 1998 1919 12 37 2006 1920 12 37
Casalmaggiore 1922 2051 6 23 1918 2042 7 23 1906 2039 7 23
Conegliano 1960 1696 17 50 1960 1706 18 50 1955 1713 18 50
Filottrano 1781 1961 7 19 1790 1954 6 18 1810 1950 6 18
Legnano 1642 1903 5 11 1656 1898 4 17 1660 1901 4 17
Monza 2003 1943 13 37 1994 1938 13 38 2005 1935 13 38
Novara 1987 1776 17 51 1963 1776 17 51 1963 1781 17 51
Pesaro 1776 1820 10 32 1785 1828 11 32 1789 1831 11 33
Piacenza 1888 1939 12 33 1886 1935 9 30 1890 1933 9 30
San Casciano 1807 1881 8 27 1812 1880 9 29 1797 1879 9 28
Scandicci 1865 1556 18 50 1858 1578 18 51 1862 1580 18 51

Note: The observed data and the replications from the basic and the scaled IW model are compared in terms of: total number of points scores and conceded, total number of wins and total number of points earned by each team at the end of the season.