Table 1.

Prediction of cattle rabies cases in Tocantins state, Brazil, from 2020 to 2022 using the predictive model ARIMA(4,1,4)

Month	2020			2021			2022
	Predicteda	Recorded	95% CIa	Predicteda	Recorded	95% CIa	Predicteda	Recorded	95% CIa
Jan.	3	0	0–18	3	3	0–20	3	N/A	0–20
Feb.	1	0	0–16	3	2	0–20	3	N/A	0–20
Mar.	5	0	0–21	2	3	0–19	4	N/A	0–20
Apr.	0	0	0–16	4	3	0–20	3	N/A	0–20
May	3	0	0–19	3	0	0–19	3	N/A	0–20
June	4	1	0–19	3	3	0–19	3	N/A	0–20
July	1	2	0–17	4	1	0–20	3	N/A	0–20
Aug.	4	2	0–20	3	2	0–19	4	N/A	0–19
Sept.	2	0	0–18	3	1	0–20	3	N/A	0–20
Oct.	2	2	0–18	3	3	0–20	3	N/A	0–20
Nov.	4	0	0–20	3	0	0–19	3	N/A	0–19
Dec.	2	0	0–18	4	2	0–20	3	N/A	0–20
Total	31	7	–	38	23	–	38	N/A	–

N/A, entry not available.

^aRounded values.