TABLE 1.
Model inputs.
Variable | Baseline value | Range | Distribution | Source |
---|---|---|---|---|
Survival | ||||
Weibull survival model for first-line chemotherapy | ||||
OS | Scale = 0.004716; shape = 1.533854 | Fixed in DSA | Fixed in PSA | Estimated a |
PFS | Scale = 0.003867; shape = 2.335407 | Fixed in DSA | Fixed in PSA | Estimated a |
HRs for first-line LY01008–chemotherapy vs. chemotherapy | ||||
OS | 0.654 | 0.302–1.410 | Normal | Estimated b |
PFS | 0.405 | 0.078–2.160 | Normal | Estimated b |
1-cycle probability of treatment discontinuation due to AEs | ||||
First-line LY01008 combined with chemotherapy | 0.004298 | 0.002149–0.006448 | Beta | Estimated c |
First-line chemotherapy | 0.006372 | 0.003186–0.009558 | Beta | Estimated c |
Costs (US$) | ||||
LY01008 price per 15 mg | 24.99 | 12.49–37.48 | Gamma | Local charge |
Paclitaxel price per 175 mg | 57.51 | 28.75–86.26 | Gamma | Local charge |
Carboplatin price per 6 mg | 1.37 | 0.69–2.06 | Gamma | Local charge |
Nivolumab price per 4.5 mg | 60.35 | 30.18–90.53 | Gamma | Local charge |
Routine follow-up cost per cycle | 55.60 | 27.80–83.40 | Gamma | [24] |
Subsequent therapy cost per cycle | 854.05 | 427.02–1,281.08 | Gamma | [24] |
BSC cost per cycle | 337.50 | 168.75–506.25 | Gamma | [24] |
Palliative care cost per cycle | 2,627.80 | 1,313.90–3,941.70 | Gamma | [24] |
AEs cost for LY01008 combined with chemotherapy | 1,025.82 | 512.91–1,538.73 | Gamma | Estimated d |
AEs cost for chemotherapy | 745.01 | 372.51–1,117.52 | Gamma | Estimated d |
Utilities | ||||
PFS health state | 0.856 | 0.718–0.994 | Beta | [29] |
PD health state | 0.768 | 0.595–0.941 | Beta | [29] |
Disutility for LY01008 combined with chemotherapy | 0.061 | 0.031–0.092 | Beta | Estimatedd |
Disutility for chemotherapy | 0.080 | 0.040–0.119 | Beta | Estimatedd |
Others | ||||
Discount rate (%) | 5 | 0–8 | Fixed in PSA | [22] |
Patient weight (kg) | 65 | 32.5–97.5 | Normal | [27] |
Body surface area (m2) | 1.72 | 0.86–2.58 | Normal | [27] |
Creatinine clearance rate | 70 | 35–105 | Normal | [28] |
OS, overall survival; PFS, progression-free survival; HR, hazard ratio; BSC, best supportive care; AEs: adverse events; PD, progressive disease.
Estimated by the survival fitting implemented in R software.
Estimated by the network meta-analysis implemented in R software.
Estimated in Supplementary Table S2.
Estimated in Supplementary Table S3.