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. 2022 Apr 28;19(4):265–275. doi: 10.11909/j.issn.1671-5411.2022.04.002

Table 3. Predictive value of the Essen score for outcomes at one year.

AUC (95% CI) P-value P-value for Hosmer–Lemeshow test
*Referred to a combined vascular event was defined as myocardial infarction, recurrent stroke and vascular death, whenever come first. **Referred to a cardiac event was defined as myocardial infarction, heart failure and cardiac death, whenever come first. AUC: area under curve; CI: confidence interval.
Combined vascular events* 0.56 (0.54–0.57) < 0.001 0.81
Stroke recurrence 0.55 (0.54–0.57) < 0.001 0.84
Myocardial infarction 0.63 (0.55–0.71) < 0.001 0.23
Cardiac events** 0.62 (0.56–0.67) < 0.001 0.25