Rating of the likelihood of pest freedom	Extremely frequently pest free (based on the Median)
Percentile of the distribution	5%	25%	Median	75%	95%
Proportion of pest free plants	9,863 out of 10,000 bundles	9,900 out of 10,000 bundles	9,935 out of 10,000 bundles	9,965 out of 10,000 bundles	9,991 out of 10,000 bundles
Proportion of infested plants	9 out of 10,000 bundles	35 out of 10,000 bundles	65 out of 10,000 bundles	100 out of 10,000 bundles	137 out of 10,000 bundles
Summary of the information used for the evaluation	Possibility that the pest could become associate with the commodity D. bulgarica was detected for the first time in 2021 in M. domestica in Turkey. It causes a severe canker disease on M. domestica in several other countries. It is possible that local populations of D. bulgarica are present in the neighbouring environment of the nursery with plants destined for export. Measures taken against the pest and their efficacy The primary measures taken in Turkey that would be effective against D. bulgarica include the use of certified material, regular inspections, and the use of pesticides. Interception records There are no records of interceptions from Turkey. Shortcomings of current measures/procedures There are no main shortcomings. Main uncertainties Pest pressure and the proximity of population sources in the surrounding environment is unknown. Efficacy of surveillance of the nursery and mother plants is not known.