TABLE 3.
Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and AUC for predicting neonatal and infant mortality using optimal cutoffs for anthropometric measures in singletons measured ≤72 h after birth (n = 21,174)1
| Characteristic | Cutoff | Total | No. died | Alive | Rate2 | Sensitivity | Specificity | Youden Index | PPV3 | NPV4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neonatal mortality (≤8 d) | |||||||||||
| Length, cm | Optimal | (44.4) | 20,773 | 287 | 20,486 | 20.1 | 60.0 | 85.9 | 45.9 | 8.0 | 99.1 |
| Harmonized | 44.5 | 20,773 | 287 | 20,486 | 19.2 | 60.6 | 84.6 | 45.2 | 7.1 | 99.1 | |
| Weight, g | Optimal | (2220) | 21,172 | 328 | 20,844 | 19.6 | 61.3 | 81.4 | 42.7 | 6.2 | 99.1 |
| Harmonized | 2200 | 21,172 | 328 | 20,844 | 20.8 | 59.5 | 82.7 | 42.2 | 6.8 | 99.0 | |
| MUAC, cm | Optimal | (8.8) | 21,127 | 309 | 20,818 | 20.3 | 58.3 | 80.6 | 38.9 | 5.9 | 98.9 |
| Harmonized | 9.0 | 21,127 | 309 | 20,818 | 15.8 | 65.0 | 73.0 | 38.0 | 3.7 | 99.2 | |
| HC, cm | Optimal | (30.9) | 21,007 | 307 | 20,700 | 24.5 | 53.4 | 88.7 | 42.1 | 10.6 | 98.7 |
| Harmonized | 31.0 | 21,007 | 307 | 20,700 | 22.9 | 53.7 | 86.8 | 40.5 | 8.7 | 98.8 | |
| CC, cm | Optimal | (28.5) | 21,042 | 305 | 20,737 | 25.6 | 55.7 | 88.5 | 44.2 | 11.3 | 98.7 |
| Harmonized | 28.5 | 21,042 | 305 | 20,737 | 25.6 | 55.7 | 88.5 | 44.2 | 11.3 | 98.7 | |
| Infant mortality (≤365 d) | |||||||||||
| Length, cm | Optimal | (44.9) | 20,773 | 530 | 20,243 | 32.6 | 54.0 | 81.3 | 35.3 | 8.9 | 98.1 |
| Harmonized | 44.5 | 20,773 | 530 | 20,243 | 37.9 | 50.0 | 84.8 | 34.8 | 11.5 | 97.7 | |
| Weight, g | Optimal | (2220) | 21,172 | 583 | 20,589 | 38.2 | 52.3 | 81.8 | 34.1 | 10.2 | 97.8 |
| Harmonized | 2200 | 21,172 | 583 | 20,589 | 40.0 | 50.9 | 83.0 | 33.9 | 11.1 | 97.6 | |
| MUAC, cm | Optimal | (9.0) | 21,127 | 563 | 20,564 | 31.8 | 56.0 | 73.2 | 29.2 | 6.4 | 98.1 |
| Harmonized | 9.0 | 21,127 | 563 | 20,564 | 31.8 | 56.0 | 73.2 | 29.2 | 6.4 | 98.1 | |
| HC, cm | Optimal | (30.9) | 21,007 | 556 | 20,451 | 44.9 | 42.4 | 88.9 | 31.3 | 15.3 | 97.0 |
| Harmonized | 31.0 | 21,007 | 556 | 20,451 | 42.7 | 43.7 | 87.0 | 30.7 | 13.0 | 97.2 | |
| CC, cm | Optimal | (28.5) | 21,042 | 554 | 20,488 | 47.8 | 43.9 | 88.7 | 32.6 | 16.3 | 96.9 |
| Harmonized | 28.5 | 21,042 | 554 | 20,488 | 47.8 | 43.9 | 88.7 | 32.6 | 16.3 | 96.9 | |
Optimal cutoff points based off Youden Index (35). CC, chest circumference; HC, head circumference; MUAC, midupper-arm circumference; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value.
Deaths per 1000 live births.