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. 2022 Jan 11;115(5):1334–1343. doi: 10.1093/ajcn/nqab432

TABLE 3.

Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and AUC for predicting neonatal and infant mortality using optimal cutoffs for anthropometric measures in singletons measured ≤72 h after birth (n = 21,174)1

Characteristic   Cutoff Total No. died Alive Rate2 Sensitivity Specificity Youden Index PPV3 NPV4
Neonatal mortality (≤8 d)
 Length, cm Optimal (44.4) 20,773 287 20,486 20.1 60.0 85.9 45.9 8.0 99.1
Harmonized 44.5 20,773 287 20,486 19.2 60.6 84.6 45.2 7.1 99.1
 Weight, g Optimal (2220) 21,172 328 20,844 19.6 61.3 81.4 42.7 6.2 99.1
Harmonized 2200 21,172 328 20,844 20.8 59.5 82.7 42.2 6.8 99.0
 MUAC, cm Optimal (8.8) 21,127 309 20,818 20.3 58.3 80.6 38.9 5.9 98.9
Harmonized 9.0 21,127 309 20,818 15.8 65.0 73.0 38.0 3.7 99.2
 HC, cm Optimal (30.9) 21,007 307 20,700 24.5 53.4 88.7 42.1 10.6 98.7
Harmonized 31.0 21,007 307 20,700 22.9 53.7 86.8 40.5 8.7 98.8
 CC, cm Optimal (28.5) 21,042 305 20,737 25.6 55.7 88.5 44.2 11.3 98.7
Harmonized 28.5 21,042 305 20,737 25.6 55.7 88.5 44.2 11.3 98.7
Infant mortality (≤365 d)
 Length, cm Optimal (44.9) 20,773 530 20,243 32.6 54.0 81.3 35.3 8.9 98.1
Harmonized 44.5 20,773 530 20,243 37.9 50.0 84.8 34.8 11.5 97.7
 Weight, g Optimal (2220) 21,172 583 20,589 38.2 52.3 81.8 34.1 10.2 97.8
Harmonized 2200 21,172 583 20,589 40.0 50.9 83.0 33.9 11.1 97.6
 MUAC, cm Optimal (9.0) 21,127 563 20,564 31.8 56.0 73.2 29.2 6.4 98.1
Harmonized 9.0 21,127 563 20,564 31.8 56.0 73.2 29.2 6.4 98.1
 HC, cm Optimal (30.9) 21,007 556 20,451 44.9 42.4 88.9 31.3 15.3 97.0
Harmonized 31.0 21,007 556 20,451 42.7 43.7 87.0 30.7 13.0 97.2
 CC, cm Optimal (28.5) 21,042 554 20,488 47.8 43.9 88.7 32.6 16.3 96.9
Harmonized 28.5 21,042 554 20,488 47.8 43.9 88.7 32.6 16.3 96.9
1

Optimal cutoff points based off Youden Index (35). CC, chest circumference; HC, head circumference; MUAC, midupper-arm circumference; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value.

2

Deaths per 1000 live births.

3

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4

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