Table 2.

Cumulative colorectal cancer incidence and mortality (/100,000) at different ages in 8 screening scenarios.

Scenarios		Age
		40	45	50	55	60	65	70	75	80
Cumulative incidence of colorectal cancer	Scenario 1	13.01	20.61	25.09	32.50	41.56	51.00	60.94	73.96	86.16
	Scenario 2	13.01	20.61	31.15	34.48	31.83	30.09	28.93	29.42	32.74
	Scenario 3	13.01	20.61	31.15	34.79	38.41	38.02	39.78	42.88	48.68
	Scenario 4	13.01	20.61	31.15	33.07	31.74	35.48	43.03	52.55	62.17
	Scenario 5	13.01	20.61	31.15	34.79	35.17	40.34	48.28	58.67	71.09
	Scenario 6	13.01	20.61	31.15	34.09	30.21	32.63	33.24	35.49	38.79
	Scenario 7	13.01	20.61	31.15	36.71	33.25	36.67	35.88	38.28	44.06
	Scenario 8	13.01	20.61	30.42	29.82	35.91	35.25	37.01	41.46	47.85
Cumulative mortality of colorectal cancer	Scenario 1	0.00	4.86	7.35	10.12	13.57	18.67	24.63	31.31	38.65
	Scenario 2	0.00	4.86	7.35	8.72	7.79	7.02	6.70	7.25	9.35
	Scenario 3	0.00	4.86	7.35	9.55	9.80	10.31	10.69	12.47	15.91
	Scenario 4	0.00	4.86	7.35	8.72	8.67	11.72	14.71	20.42	26.47
	Scenario 5	0.00	4.86	7.35	9.55	10.09	13.36	17.83	23.88	30.26
	Scenario 6	0.00	4.86	7.35	8.72	8.23	9.35	10.24	12.48	14.83
	Scenario 7	0.00	4.86	7.35	9.55	9.60	11.07	12.47	13.96	16.75
	Scenario 8	0.00	4.86	7.35	9.10	10.58	12.16	14.10	16.75	20.25

Scenario 1, no screening; scenario 2, fecal immunochemical tests (FITs) annually at age 50–69; scenario 3, FITs biennially at age 50–69; scenario 4, FITs annually at age 50–54; scenario 5, three FITs at age 50, 52, and 54; scenario 6, FITs annually at age 50–54, and two colonoscopies at age 55 and 65; scenario 7, three FITs at age 50, 52, and 54, and two colonoscopies at age 55 and 65; scenario 8, two colonoscopies at age 50 and 60.