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. 2022 May 6;2022(5):CD014798. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD014798.pub2

Summary of findings 2. Diagnostic accuracy of magnetic resonance imaging for the diagnosis of resectable hepatocellular carcinoma.

Review question: what is the diagnostic accuracy of MRI for the diagnosis of resectable HCC in people with chronic liver disease?
Population: adults with chronic liver disease
Setting: clinical setting (secondary or tertiary care setting) or surveillance programmes
Study design: cross‐sectional studies
Index test: MRI
Target condition: resectable HCC
Reference standards
  • Pathology of the explanted liver in case of transplantation

  • Histology of resected focal liver lesion(s), or the histology of resected or biopsied focal liver lesion(s) with a follow‐up of ≥ 6 months to exclude the presence of focal lesions not detected by the index test

Limitations in the evidence: risk of bias and applicability concerns (total 16 studies which had all participants with resectable HCC)
  • Participant selection: high/unclear risk of bias 10 studies (63%); high concern for applicability 11 studies (69%)

  • Index tests: high/unclear risk of bias 0 studies (0%); high concern for applicability 0 studies (0%)

  • Reference standard: high/unclear risk of bias 10 studies (63%); high concern for applicability 11 studies (69%)

  • Flow and timing: high/unclear risk of bias 14 studies (88%)

  • Overall: high risk of bias; all included studies; high concern for applicability 11 studies (69%)

Findings
Index test Number of studies (participants) Sensitivity (95% CI) Specificity (95% CI) Implications in a hypothetical cohort of 1000 people
Prevalencea% True positives will receive appropriate treatment (surgical resection) False negatives will be misdiagnosed and not undergo surgical resection True negatives will not undergo inappropriate further testing or surgical resection False positives will undergo inappropriate further testing or surgical resection Certainty of the evidence
MRI 16
(2150)
84.3% (77.6% to 89.3%) 92.9% (88.3% to 95.9%) 36 303 57 595 45 Lowb
56 472 88 409 31
66 556 104 316 24
CI: confidence interval; HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma; MRI: magnetic resonance imaging.

aWe chose for exemplification three values of hepatocellular carcinoma prevalence: 36% for a population with low clinical suspicion, 56% as a median derived from our study analysis, and 66% for population with high clinical suspicion (assessment of nodules detected by ultrasound).
bDowngraded two levels for risk of bias and indirectness.