Table 2.
Generalized linear model results for crime rates by year and crime type (1:100,000)
| Effects | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Crime type | Year Waldχ2b pES | Lock Waldχ2b pES | Inter Waldχ2b pES |
| Murder and manslaughtera | 0.22 0.00 {1.00} | 0.02 0.19 {1.21} | 0.22 − 0.54 {0.58} |
| .642 | .889 | .642 | |
| .046 | .014 | .046 | |
| Assault | 13.51 − 1.15 | 19.52 − 1.51 | 1.79 − 1.31 |
| < .001 | < .001 | .182 | |
| .360 | .433 | .131 | |
| Sexual assault | 3.70 − 0.14 | 1.54 − 0.03 | 1.15 − 0.36 |
| .054 | .214 | .283 | |
| .189 | .122 | .105 | |
| Drug-related crimes | 10.03 − 1.84 | 17.37 − 2.72 | 1.13 − 1.86 |
| .002 | < .001 | .289 | |
| .311 | .409 | .104 | |
| Robbery | 0.33 − 0.46 | 0.11 − 0.06 | 1.87 0.16 |
| .565 | .736 | .171 | |
| .056 | .033 | .134 | |
| Property-related crimes | 1.24 − 0.23 | 2.19 − 0.94 | 3.91 1.07 |
| .266 | .139 | .048 | |
| .109 | .145 | .194 | |
Year 2019 — 0, Year 2020 — 1; Lockdown — 1 and 0 — otherwise. This data series was assumed to have the binomial distribution and was linked to the Logit function rather than the normal distribution and the identity link which were set for all the other series. The odds of the Logit coefficients are given in curly brackets. For detailed results, see Table 5
Int. interaction effect, Lock. lockdown periods
aIn each cell for effect we show: Wald’s χ2 with one degree of freedom, the p-value of that effect (p), and effect size (ES), b for the unstandardized regression coefficient