Table 3.
Series | No deterministic terms | An intercept | An intercept and a linear time trend |
---|---|---|---|
USA |
-0.086 (-0.103, -0.068) |
-0.087 (-0.105, -0.067) |
-0.089 ( +) (-0.108, -0.070) |
UK |
-0.027 (-0.049, -0.002) |
-0.027 (-0.049, -0.002) |
-0.027 (-0.049, -0.002) |
CHINA |
-0.018 (-0.048, 0.006) |
-0.018 (-0.048, 0.006) |
-0.020 ( +) (-0.052, 0.004) |
INDIA |
0.009 (-0.013, 0.033) |
0.009 (-0.013, 0.033) |
0.009 (-0.014, 0.032) |
JAPAN |
-0.099 (-0.118, -0.079) |
-0.099 (-0.118, -0.079) |
-0.103 ( +) (-0.120, -0.081) |
SOUTH AFRICA |
0.001 (-0.024, -0.028) |
0.001 (-0.023, -0.028) |
0.001 (-0.024, -0.028) |
WORLD |
0.029 (0.006, 0.054) |
0.029 (0.006, 0.054) |
0.028 (0.005, 0.053) |
EMERGING MKTS |
0.109 (0.083, 0.139) |
0.109 (0.083, 0.139) |
0.109 (0.083, 0.138) |
EAFE |
0.057 (0.032, 0.084) |
0.057 (0.032, 0.084) |
0.056 (0.031, 0.083) |
EUROPE |
-0.016 (-0.038, 0.007) |
-0.016 (-0.038, 0.007) |
-0.018 (-0.039, 0.006) |
PACIFIC |
-0.034 (-0.055, -0.012) |
-0.034 (-0.055, -0.012) |
-0.035 (-0.056, -0.012) |
BRICS |
0.047 (-0.016, 0.082) |
0.047 (-0.016, 0.082) |
0.046 (-0.015, 0.081) |
The values in bold are those from the specification selected on the basis of the statistical significance of the deterministic terms; in brackets the corresponding confidence intervals.