Table 4.
Series | No deterministic terms | An intercept | An intercept and a linear time trend |
---|---|---|---|
USA |
0.008 (-0.023, 0.054) |
0.008 (-0.023, 0.054) |
0.008 (-0.023, 0.054) |
UK |
-0.082 (-0.122, -0.033) |
-0.082 (-0.122, -0.033) |
-0.083 (-0.123, -0.032) |
CHINA |
-0.043 (-0.088, -0.001) |
-0.044 (-0.089, -0.001) |
-0.051 (-0.088, -0.014) |
INDIA |
0.031 (-0.009, 0.060) |
0.031 (-0.009, 0.060) |
0.031 (-0.010, 0.060) |
JAPAN |
-0.059 (-0.092, -0.011) |
-0.059 (-0.092, -0.012) |
-0.059 (-0.093, -0.012) |
SOUTH AFRICA |
-0.067 (-0.107, -0.014) |
-0.067 (-0.107, -0.014) |
-0.067 (-0.108, -0.015) |
WORLD |
0.011 (-0.036, 0.063) |
0.011 (-0.036, 0.065) |
0.011 (-0.036, 0.065) |
EMERGING MKTS |
0.003 (-0.042, 0.028) |
0.003 (-0.042, 0.028) |
0.003 (-0.050, 0.029) |
EAFE |
-0.037 (-0.037, 0.022) |
-0.037 (-0.037, 0.022) |
-0.037 (-0.074, 0.023) |
EUROPE |
-0.058 (-0.087, -0.021) |
-0.058 (-0.087, -0.021) |
-0.054 (-0.087, -0.021) |
PACIFIC |
-0.019 (-0.055, 0.032) |
-0.019 (-0.054, 0.032) |
-0.019 (-0.055, 0.033) |
BRICS |
0.008 (-0.044, 0.061) |
0.008 (-0.044, 0.061) |
0.007 ( +) (-0.045, 0.058) |
The values in bold are those from the specification selected on the basis of the statistical significance of the deterministic terms; in brackets the corresponding confidence intervals