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. 2022 May 7;46(4):678–703. doi: 10.1007/s12197-022-09580-0

Table 5.

Estimates of d based on white noise errors—conventional indices

Series No deterministic terms An intercept An intercept and a linear time trend
USA

-0.084

(-0.107, -0.069)

-0.085

(-0.108, -0.068)

-0.089

(-0.108, -0.067)

UK

-0.024

(-0.041, -0.002)

-0.024

(-0.042, -0.002)

-0.024

(-0.043, -0.001)

CHINA

0.007

(-0.016, 0.034)

0.007

(-0.016, 0.034)

0.005

(-0.018, 0.034)

INDIA

0.033

(0.012, 0.052)

0.033

(0.012, 0.052)

0.033

(0.012, 0.051)

JAPAN

-0.097

(-0.114, -0.074)

-0.097

(-0.114, -0.074)

-0.100

(-0.114, -0.079)

SOUTH AFRICA

0.001

(-0024, 0.027)

0.001

(-0024, 0.027)

0.001

(-0024, 0.027)

WORLD

0.030

(0.006, 0.057)

0.030

(0.007, 0.058)

0.029

(0.007, 0.060)

EMERGING MKTS

0.126

(0.094, 0.156)

0.126

(0.094, 0.157)

0.126

(0.095, 0.156)

EAFE

0.063

(0.031. 0.089)

0.063

(0.031. 0.089)

0.062

(0.032, 0.089)

EUROPE

-0.013

(-0.034, 0.011)

-0.013

(-0.034, 0.012)

-0.014

(-0.034, 0.012)

PACIFIC

-0.021

(-0.046, -0.004)

-0.021

(-0.045, -0.004)

-0.021

(-0.045, -0.005)

BRICS

0.097

(0.071, 0.122)

0.097

(0.072, 0.122)

0.097

(0.072, 0.123)

The values in bold are those from the specification selected on the basis of the statistical significance of the deterministic terms; in brackets the corresponding confidence intervals