Table 5.
Series | No deterministic terms | An intercept | An intercept and a linear time trend |
---|---|---|---|
USA |
-0.084 (-0.107, -0.069) |
-0.085 (-0.108, -0.068) |
-0.089 (-0.108, -0.067) |
UK |
-0.024 (-0.041, -0.002) |
-0.024 (-0.042, -0.002) |
-0.024 (-0.043, -0.001) |
CHINA |
0.007 (-0.016, 0.034) |
0.007 (-0.016, 0.034) |
0.005 (-0.018, 0.034) |
INDIA |
0.033 (0.012, 0.052) |
0.033 (0.012, 0.052) |
0.033 (0.012, 0.051) |
JAPAN |
-0.097 (-0.114, -0.074) |
-0.097 (-0.114, -0.074) |
-0.100 (-0.114, -0.079) |
SOUTH AFRICA |
0.001 (-0024, 0.027) |
0.001 (-0024, 0.027) |
0.001 (-0024, 0.027) |
WORLD |
0.030 (0.006, 0.057) |
0.030 (0.007, 0.058) |
0.029 (0.007, 0.060) |
EMERGING MKTS |
0.126 (0.094, 0.156) |
0.126 (0.094, 0.157) |
0.126 (0.095, 0.156) |
EAFE |
0.063 (0.031. 0.089) |
0.063 (0.031. 0.089) |
0.062 (0.032, 0.089) |
EUROPE |
-0.013 (-0.034, 0.011) |
-0.013 (-0.034, 0.012) |
-0.014 (-0.034, 0.012) |
PACIFIC |
-0.021 (-0.046, -0.004) |
-0.021 (-0.045, -0.004) |
-0.021 (-0.045, -0.005) |
BRICS |
0.097 (0.071, 0.122) |
0.097 (0.072, 0.122) |
0.097 (0.072, 0.123) |
The values in bold are those from the specification selected on the basis of the statistical significance of the deterministic terms; in brackets the corresponding confidence intervals