Table 6.
Series | No deterministic terms | An intercept | An intercept and a liner time trend |
---|---|---|---|
USA |
-0.039 (-0.090, 0.004) |
-0.042 (-0.091, 0.004) |
-0.048 (-0.091, 0.004) |
UK |
-0.075 (-0.110, -0.041) |
-0.075 (-0.109, -0.041) |
-0.076 (-0.112, -0.042) |
CHINA |
-0.028 (-0.059, -0.001) |
-0.028 (-0059, -0.001) |
-0.027 (-0061, -0.001) |
INDIA |
-0.006 (-0.031, 0.036) |
-0.006 (-0.031, 0.036) |
-0.005 (-0.031, 0.035) |
JAPAN |
-0.059 (-0.101, -0.024) |
-0.059 (-0.100, -0.024) |
-0.062 (-0.101, -0.023) |
SOUTH AFRICA |
-0.099 (-0.131, -0.058) |
-0.099 (-0.131, -0.058) |
-0.099 (-0.131, -0.058) |
WORLD |
-0.056 (-0.074, -0.018) |
-0.056 (-0.080, -0.018) |
-0.059 (-0.080, -0.021) |
EMERGING MKTS |
-0.009 (-0.041, 0.036) |
-0.009 (-0.042, 0.035) |
-0.009 (-0.042, 0.037) |
EAFE |
-0.057 (-0.081, -0.018) |
-0.057 (-0.081, -0.018) |
-0.059 (-0.082, -0.019) |
EUROPE |
-0.048 (-0.093, -0.024) |
-0.048 (-0.093, -0.024) |
-0.056 (-0.093, -0.013) |
PACIFIC |
-0.036 (-0.075, -0.004) |
-0.036 (-0.075, -0.004) |
-0.038 (-0.075, -0.005) |
BRICS |
-0.028 (-0.054, 0.016) |
-0.028 (-0.054, 0.016) |
-0.029 (-0.054, 0.016) |
The values in bold are those from the specification selected on the basis of the statistical significance of the deterministic terms; in brackets the corresponding confidence intervals.