Table. Estimated Excess Deaths From External Causes, by Race and Ethnicity in the US, March Through December 2020a.
| Death type | Observed (expected) deaths March to December, 2020 | (95% PI) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated excess deaths | Observed to expected ratio | |||
| March to December, 2020 | Per 100 000 population | |||
| All external causes of deaths | ||||
| All | 241 566 (224 315) | 17 251 (8114 to 26 245) | 5.24 (2.46 to 7.97) | 1.08 (1.03 to 1.12) |
| American Indian or Alaska Native | 3379 (2890) | 489 (310 to 663) | 17.66 (11.21 to 23.98) | 1.17 (1.1 to 1.24) |
| Asian or Pacific Islander | 5126 (5068) | 58 (–101 to 213) | 0.27 (–0.47 to 1) | 1.01 (0.98 to 1.04) |
| Black or African American | 42 066 (35 343) | 6723 (4924 to 8488) | 15.41 (11.29 to 19.46) | 1.19 (1.13 to 1.25) |
| Hispanic or Latino | 28 091 (25 753) | 2338 (1599 to 3063) | 3.81 (2.61 to 5) | 1.09 (1.06 to 1.12) |
| White | 162 104 (154 552) | 7552 (–3086 to 17 989) | 3.77 (–1.54 to 8.97) | 1.05 (0.98 to 1.12) |
| Homicide | ||||
| All | 21 225 (16 893) | 4332 (3028 to 5616) | 1.31 (0.92 to 1.7) | 1.26 (1.17 to 1.36) |
| American Indian or Alaska Native | 330 (247) | 83 (46 to 120) | 3.02 (1.68 to 4.32) | 1.34 (1.16 to 1.57) |
| Asian or Pacific Islander | 310 (285) | 25 (–10 to 59) | 0.12 (–0.05 to 0.28) | 1.09 (0.97 to 1.24) |
| Black or African American | 11 889 (8967) | 2922 (2198 to 3634) | 6.7 (5.04 to 8.33) | 1.33 (1.23 to 1.44) |
| Hispanic or Latino | 3341 (2747) | 594 (318 to 865) | 0.97 (0.52 to 1.41) | 1.22 (1.11 to 1.35) |
| White | 5315 (4463) | 852 (522 to 1176) | 0.42 (0.26 to 0.59) | 1.19 (1.11 to 1.28) |
| Suicide | ||||
| All | 38 268 (40 690) | –2422 (–4371 to –502) | –0.74 (–1.33 to –0.15) | 0.94 (0.90 to 0.99) |
| American Indian or Alaska Native | 576 (524) | 52 (–5 to 108) | 1.88 (–0.19 to 3.90) | 1.10 (0.99 to 1.23) |
| Asian or Pacific Islander | 1264 (1277) | –13 (–143 to 115) | –0.06 (–0.67 to 0.54) | 0.99 (0.90 to 1.10) |
| Black or African American | 2844 (2909) | –65 (–198 to 64) | –0.15 (–0.45 to 0.15) | 0.98 (0.93 to 1.02) |
| Hispanic or Latino | 3828 (3953) | –125 (–317 to 63) | –0.2 (–0.52 to 0.10) | 0.97 (0.92 to 1.02) |
| White | 29 666 (32 309) | –2643 (–4517 to –796) | –1.32 (–2.25 to –0.4) | 0.92 (0.87 to 0.97) |
| Transportation fatalities | ||||
| All | 38 354 (36 135) | 2219 (410 to 4001) | 0.67 (0.12 to 1.21) | 1.06 (1.01 to 1.12) |
| American Indian or Alaska Native | 625 (670) | –45 (–103 to 14) | –1.62 (–3.74 to 0.49) | 0.93 (0.86 to 1.02) |
| Asian or Pacific Islander | 805 (867) | –62 (–126 to 1) | –0.29 (–0.59 to 0.01) | 0.93 (0.86 to 1.00) |
| Black or African American | 7219 (5945) | 1274 (948 to 1594) | 2.92 (2.17 to 3.65) | 1.21 (1.15 to 1.28) |
| Hispanic or Latino | 6210 (5742) | 468 (154 to 774) | 0.76 (0.25 to 1.26) | 1.08 (1.03 to 1.14) |
| White | 23 431 (22 809) | 622 (–539 to 1766) | 0.31 (–0.27 to 0.88) | 1.03 (0.98 to 1.08) |
| Drug overdose | ||||
| All | 78 921 (66 021) | 12 900 (5618 to 20 043) | 3.92 (1.71 to 6.08) | 1.2 (1.08 to 1.34) |
| American Indian or Alaska Native | 986 (676) | 310 (212 to 406) | 11.21 (7.67 to 14.69) | 1.46 (1.27 to 1.70) |
| Asian or Pacific Islander | 1053 (858) | 195 (91 to 297) | 0.92 (0.43 to 1.40) | 1.23 (1.09 to 1.39) |
| Black or African American | 13 445 (11 009) | 2436 (1307 to 3546) | 5.59 (3.00 to 8.13) | 1.22 (1.11 to 1.36) |
| Hispanic or Latino | 9183 (7567) | 1616 (960 to 2262) | 2.64 (1.57 to 3.69) | 1.21 (1.12 to 1.33) |
| White | 53 791 (46 457) | 7334 (1518 to 13 040) | 3.66 (0.76 to 6.50) | 1.16 (1.03 to 1.32) |
Abbreviation: PI, prediction interval.
a
Observed to expected ratios were defined as the observed number of deaths divided by the expected number of deaths. All external causes of deaths included transportation fatalities, other external causes of unintentional injury, suicide, homicide, event of undetermined intent, legal intervention and operation of war, complication of medical and surgical care, and sequelae of external causes of morbidity and mortality.