Table 3.
Endpoint | Organ | Dose measure |
Number of events |
Percentage increase in RR per Gy* |
Reference† | Table/figure in reference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Major coronary events | Whole heart | Mean | 963 | 7.4% (95% CI 2.9–14.5) | Darby 201318 | Fig. 1 |
Lung cancer | Lung‡ | Mean | 475 all studies combined | 11% (95% CI 6–19) | EBCTCG 201717 | Fig. S8 |
Oesophageal cancer | Whole oesophagus | Median | 156 | 7.1% (95% CI 1.8–20.6)§ | Journy 202019 | Table 2 |
Abbreviations: RR rate ratio; Gy gray; CI confidence interval
i.e. excess RR per Gy (lung cancer and major coronary events) or excess odds ratio per Gy (oesophageal cancer). Models are of the form Bs(1 + KX/100) where S denotes a group, or stratum, of individuals for whom the rate at which the endpoint occurs in the absence of radiation exposure is likely to be similar. Bs is the rate at which the endpoint occurs in that stratum in the absence of radiotherapy, X is the dose measure in Gy and K is the percentage increase in the rate ratio or the odds ratio per Gy.
See also Supplemental Table 8.
Based on published data meta-analysis of five studies where doses were allocated to individuals based on trial-level or individual patient doses. Organ doses were for both lungs combined in one study, ipsilateral lung in two studies and location of second cancer in two studies.
The dose–response relationship based on whole oesophagus dose is listed because it is based on median oesophagus dose, which is assessable for patients being considered for breast cancer radiotherapy.