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. 2022 May 13;22:462. doi: 10.1186/s12879-022-07421-3

Table 5.

Characteristics of retrospective studies on venous thromboembolism prediction models

Study Country Study type, time period Total number of cases Venous thromboembolism incidence rate Prediction model Performance
Kampouri et al. Switzerland Retrospective, February 28th to April 30th, 2020 491 9.3% Wells score for PE ≥ 2 points and D-dimer value ≥ 3,000 ng/mL

PPV: 18.2%

NPV: 98.5

Accuracy: 0.905

Dujardin et al. Netherlands Retrospective, March 13th to April 9th, 2020 127 41.7% Binary linear regression model; D-dimer is > 9 μg/mL and C-reactive protein > 280 mg/mL Predicted probability: 92%
Tsaplin et al. Russia Retrospective, April 30th to May 29th, 2020 168 6.5% Modified Caprini score > 12; D-dimer > 3 upper limit of normal Sensitivity: 73%; Specificity: 84%
Spyropoulos et al. United States Retrospective, March 1st, 2020 to April 27th, 2020 9407 2.9% The International Medical Prevention Registry on Venous Thromboembolism and D‐Dimer (IMPROVE‐DD) risk assessment model AUC: 70%; sensitivity: 97%; specificity: 22%
Freund et al. France, Spain, Belgium, Italy, Chile, and Canada Retrospective, February 1st to April 10th, 2020 974 15% Revised Geneva score and D-dimer [D-dimer below the age-adjusted threshold (i.e., 500 µg/mL under 50 years and age × 10 over 50 years)] AUC: 0.81

AUC area under the curve, NPV negative predictive value, PE pulmonary embolism, PPV positive predictive value