Table 4.

Comparison of BeCaked and top-tier forecasting-specialized methods at country level with 1-step forecast.

	BeCaked	ARIMA	Ridge	LASSO	SVR	DTR	RFR	GBR
Australia
$R^2$	0.99112	0.98329	0.99337	$\mathbf{0.99531}$	$-0.48798$	0.98342	0.96787	0.98299
MAPE	0.04703	0.10236	$\mathbf{0.01093}$	0, 04078	0.85609	0.10204	0.14942	0.10344
Italy
$R^2$	$\mathbf{0.96381}$	0.94660	0.92646	0.88220	$-22.56497$	0.94889	0.90082	0.94876
MAPE	0.00496	0.01655	$\mathbf{0.00024}$	0.05999	0.93214	0.01684	0.02570	0.02165
Russia
$R^2$	0.92922	0.91663	$\mathbf{0.98479}$	0.92367	$-108.89720$	0.91643	0.87353	0.91854
MAPE	$\mathbf{0.00004}$	0.02856	0, 00007	0.00938	0.77448	0.02851	0.04442	0.02938
Spain
$R^2$	$\mathbf{0.98765}$	0.97214	0.98591	0.98362	$-10.84390$	0.97212	0.94968	0.97053
MAPE	$\mathbf{0.00174}$	0.01418	0.00325	0.01881	0.74045	0.01406	0.02173	0.01522
United Kingdom
$R^2$	$\mathbf{0.99833}$	0.98713	0.99764	0.96375	$-449.89408$	0.98748	0.96991	0.98463
MAPE	0.00030	0.00255	$\mathbf{0.00014}$	0.00437	0.52586	0.00249	0.00397	0.00282
United States
$R^2$	$\mathbf{0.99688}$	0.98676	0.99648	0.99461	$-9.99942$	0.98676	0.96834	0.98633
MAPE	0.00552	0.02644	$\mathbf{0.00004}$	0.00069	0.62264	0.02642	0.04185	0.02687

Best results are in [bold].