Table 5.

Comparison of BeCaked and top-tier forecasting-specialized methods at country level with 7-step forecast.

	BeCaked	ARIMA	Ridge	LASSO	SVR	DTR	RFR	GBR
Australia
$R^2$	0.88112	0.74039	$\mathbf{0.99115}$	0.98878	$-0.94255$	0.73989	0.68456	0.73797
MAPE	0.18610	0.32529	$\mathbf{0.06932}$	0.11617	0.88976	0.32524	0.36291	0.32645
Italy
$R^2$	$\mathbf{0.89690}$	0.66110	$-0.20361$	0.63946	$-20.00836$	0.69335	0.53913	0.69311
MAPE	0.02365	0.06104	$\mathbf{0.00444}$	0.12168	0.93036	0.06223	0.06936	0.06644
Russia
$R^2$	0.85845	0.70449	$\mathbf{0.92995}$	0.84984	$-106.05299$	0.70217	0.59478	0.71031
MAPE	0.00222	0.10383	$\mathbf{0.00087}$	0.02079	0.77662	0.10370	0.11736	0.10442
Spain
$R^2$	0.98013	0.68411	$\mathbf{0.98210}$	0.93588	$-12.06027$	0.68644	0.61741	0.68019
MAPE	$\mathbf{0.00836}$	0.05367	0.01601	0.04576	0.74972	0.05306	0.05929	0.05420
United Kingdom
$R^2$	$\mathbf{0.99413}$	0.77401	0.98469	0.84731	$-456.43229$	0.77985	0.72832	0.76877
MAPE	$\mathbf{0.00119}$	0.01027	0.00164	0.00918	0.52910	0.01004	0.01131	0.01037
United States
$R^2$	0.98679	0.79943	$\mathbf{0.98702}$	0.97658	$-11.07041$	0.79943	0.74460	0.79768
MAPE	0.01900	0.09879	$\mathbf{0.00080}$	0.00067	0.64423	0.09871	0.11258	0.09912

Best results are in [bold].