Table 6.

Comparison of BeCaked and top-tier forecasting-specialized methods at country level with 15-step forecast.

	BeCaked	ARIMA	Ridge	LASSO	SVR	DTR	RFR	GBR
Australia
$R^2$	0.09703	$-0.10753$	$\mathbf{0.92366}$	0.86414	$-1.69800$	$-0.12140$	$-0.20682$	$-0.12229$
MAPE	0.40278	0.50951	$\mathbf{0.18428}$	0.26379	0.92842	0.51087	0.53734	0.51162
Italy
$R^2$	$\mathbf{0.61706}$	$-0.07923$	$-10.41220$	$-2.08983$	$-16.35794$	0.07287	$-0.17657$	0.07720
MAPE	0.05745	0.10709	$\mathbf{0.01292}$	0.23014	0.92750	0.10942	0.11508	0.11293
Russia
$R^2$	$\mathbf{0.27693}$	$-0.09658$	$-0.28502$	$-0.71668$	$-102.60031$	$-0.09129$	$-0.19068$	$-0.07648$
MAPE	0.01246	0.18125	$\mathbf{0.00158}$	0.05668	0.77912	0.18115	0.19226	0.18170
Spain
$R^2$	$\mathbf{0.90753}$	$-0.19684$	0.65409	0.38282	$-13.40342$	$-0.22237$	$-0.28920$	$-0.23309$
MAPE	$\mathbf{0.01356}$	0.09955	0.06038	0.11265	0.75909	0.09886	0.10272	0.09994
United Kingdom
$R^2$	$\mathbf{0.99278}$	$-0.06679$	0.90663	$-0.10126$	$-465.84698$	$-0.02151$	$-0.12357$	$-0.04241$
MAPE	$\mathbf{0.00268}$	0.02080	0.00436	0.02445	0.53362	0.02024	0.02146	0.02054
United States
$R^2$	0.94760	$-0.04783$	$\mathbf{0.96380}$	0.93578	$-12.74072$	$-0.04770$	$-0.15771$	$-0.05102$
MAPE	0.04370	0.18476	0.00917	$\mathbf{0.00477}$	0.67073	0.18467	0.19654	0.18503

Best results are in [bold].