Table 2.

Simulation results for an average duration of incarceration of 2.6 years. Base annual COVID-19 incidence, annual incidence averted/1000, and annual DALYs saved/1000 people*

	N = 5000	N = 10000	N = 20000
No intervention (θP = 0.0θC)
Baseline annual incidence (1000s)	1.13	1.33	2.62
Baseline annual incidence for community (1000’s)	0.36	0.57	1.87
Baseline annual incidence for incarcerated people (1000’s)	0.77	0.76	0.75
Baseline total DALYs per 1000 people	0.58	0.81	4.32
Baseline hospitalizations per 1000 people	0.06	0.06	0.11
Baseline deaths per 1000 people	0.01	0.01	0.03
50% quarantine rate (θP = 0.5θC)
Annual incidence averted (1000’s)
Total population	0.32	0.33	0.01
Community	0.06	0.10	0.25
Incarcerated population	0.26	0.24	0.26
Total DALYs saved per 1000 people	0.21	0.32	0.35
Hospitalizations averted per 1000 people	0.03	0.02	0.01
Deaths averted per 1000 people	0.009	0.001	0.006
100% quarantine rate (θP = 1.0θC)
Annual incidence averted (1000’s)
Total population	0.56	0.60	0.47
Community	0.12	0.10	0.25
Incarcerated population	0.45	0.42	0.43
Total DALYs saved per 1000 people	0.25	0.25	0.53
Hospitalizations averted per 1000 people	0.04	0.04	0.03
Deaths averted per 1000 people	0.007	0.003	0.005

^*Annual incidence averted/1000, and annual DALYs saved/1000 people are calculated as the difference between the baseline and intervention scenario