Figure - PMC

Skip to main content

An official website of the United States government

Here's how you know

Here's how you know

Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.

Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.

View full-text article in PMC

. 2022 May 19;17(5):e0264195. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0264195

Search in PMC
Search in PubMed
View in NLM Catalog
Add to search

© 2022 Daza–Torres et al

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

PMC Copyright notice

Fig 2 — Estimated statewide confirmed cases and confirmed deaths during live data collection, extrapolated between May 18th and June 15th for different vaccination rates, and predicted beyond June 15th with different effective population proportions and transmission rates. (A) and (B): effects of varying transmission rate on confirmed cases and confirmed deaths, respectively. (C) and (D): effects of varying the effective population proportion on confirmed cases and confirmed deaths, respectively. Dashed vertical line: June 15th. Gray vertical bars: daily reported data. Black line: baseline scenario, before and after opening. Cyan line: projection from May 18th assuming a 30% reduction in the current vaccination rate. Magenta line: projection from May 18th assuming a 30% increase in the current vaccination rate. The values used for β = 0.4, 0.5, and ω = 0.3, 0.5 were selected according to historical data in CA (see S6 Fig in S1 File).