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. 2022 May 24;377:e071113. doi: 10.1136/bmj-2022-071113

Table 2.

PCR test results among study participants with at least three BNT162b2 vaccine doses at different time points, between 10 January and 13 March 2022, and adjusted relative vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 infection for participants receiving a fourth dose

Time after receiving fourth dose Matched analysis* Multiple tests analysis†
Positive PCR Negative PCR Adjusted rVE (%; 95% CI) Positive PCR Negative PCR Adjusted rVE (%; 95% CI)
Received only three doses (reference) 19 211 25 861 22 046 74 268
7-13 days 3263 11 376 57.7 (55.6 to 59.7) 3555 23 423 46 (43.7 to 48.3)
14-20 days 2131 6264 65.1 (63 to 67.1) 2439 19 478 61.7 (59.8 to 63.6)
21-27 days 1785 4972 64 (61.6 to 66.3) 2033 17 484 63.9 (62 to 65.8)
28-34 days 1416 3716 58.1 (54.8 to 61.1) 1613 15 274 61 (58.6 to 63.2)
35-41 days 930 2569 55 (50.6 to 58.9) 1084 12 664 58.8 (55.7 to 61.6)
42-48 days 684 1940 50.2 (44.5 to 55.3) 796 11 146 57.1 (53.4 to 60.5)
49-55 days 556 1501 42.5 (35.1 to 49.1) 654 9719 52.8 (48.2 to 57)
56-62 days 542 1364 33.4 (23.8 to 41.8) 625 8214 42.6 (36.6 to 48.1)
63-69 days 213 491 22 (4.9 to 36.1) 256 2662 29.5 (18.1 to 39.2)
Overall 30 731 60 054 35 101 194 332

PCR=polymerase chain reaction; rVE=relative vaccine effectiveness (calculated as 100%×(1−odds ratio) for each week since vaccination).

*

Matched analysis used 1:m matching, with up to five controls per case, based on seven factors: sex, age group, city of residence, socioeconomic status, calendar week of first test, month of receipt of the third dose, and a categorical variable for the living environment (a medical nursing home, assisted living facility, or private residence). Analysis also adjusted for underlying comorbidities and previous test-taking behaviour.

Odds ratios were adjusted for comorbidities, age group, nursing home or assisted living residence, previous test-taking behaviour, biological sex, calendar week of testing, residential socioeconomic status, and month of receipt of the third dose