Table 6.
Results of the predicted number of farms vaccinated and animals vaccinated for the vaccination control strategies used in a simulated outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease in five countries
Strategy | Premises vaccinated | Animals vaccinated (×1000) |
---|---|---|
Median (5, 95%) | Median (5, 95%) | |
Australia: | ||
SO | 0 | 0 |
VS1 | 508 (372, 788) | 161 (121, 259) |
VS2 | 394 (259, 614) | 111 (73, 175) |
VS3 | 297 (202, 471) | 97 (66, 168) |
VS4 | 212 (116, 359) | 59 (31, 112) |
VS5 | 497 (374, 816) | 165 (125, 269) |
Canada:a | ||
SO | 0 | 0 |
VS1 | 362 (253, 510) | 261 (235, 294) |
VS2 | 396 (252, 566) | 266 (250, 325) |
VS3 | 446 (250, 722) | 255 (238, 301) |
VS4 | 529 (383, 629) | 261 (219, 284) |
VS5 | 1548 (710, 2187) | 1064 (476, 1411) |
New Zealand: | ||
SO | 0 | 0 |
VS1 | 1296 (747, 1930) | 122 (68, 203) |
VS2 | 1292 (792, 2062) | 129 (61, 245) |
VS3 | 1040 (598, 1740) | 107 (49, 176) |
VS4 | 1049 (663, 1538) | 96 (56, 176) |
VS5 | 1302 (880, 2115) | 123 (68, 258) |
UK: | ||
SO | 0 | 0 |
VS1 | 1025 (731, 1843) | 425 (301, 742) |
VS2 | 826 (471, 1641) | 329 (172, 672) |
VS3 | 501 (254, 861) | 189 (91, 342) |
VS4 | 448 (258, 814) | 165 (88, 328) |
VS5 | 1011 (728, 1673) | 430 (301, 718) |
USA: | ||
SO | 0 | 0 |
VS1 | 723 (522, 994) | 81 (52, 233) |
VS2 | 725 (562, 1021) | 79 (40, 207) |
VS3 | 681 (474, 901) | 74 (43, 215) |
VS4 | 23 (0, 132) | 2 (0, 17) |
VS5 | 673 (543, 885) | 73 (44, 200) |
Vaccine doses were artificially constrained at 250 000 for VS1-4 for each of the Canadian models.