Fig. 1.

FluMOMO influenza (a), positivity (b), activity (c), temperature (d) and mortality (e) variables, 2008/09 week 40 to 2014/15 week 20. ¹RCGP ILI consultation rate per 100 000 population multiplied by the proportion of samples positive for influenza through RCGP and PHE-SMN sentinel swabbing schemes. ²Temperature data from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (http://www.noaa.gov/). ³Definitions: temp, weekly mean temperature; p_temp, predicted weekly-mean temperature; pt_min, predicted weekly-mean minimum temperature; pt_max, predicted weekly-mean maximum temperature; pt_low, the minimum predicted mean temperature across the time series; pt_high, the maximum predicted mean temperature across the time series.