Table 1.
Characteristics of cohort used for prediction model development
| All visits | Visits per person | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 6-10 | 11-20 | 21+ | ||
|
|
|||||||
| Sample and outcome characteristics | N (row %)† | N (row %) | N (row %) | N (row %) | N (row %) | N (row %) | N (row %) |
|
| |||||||
| Total number of visits | 1,518,968 (100) | 62,660 (4) | 67,306 (4) | 175,850 (12) | 221,286 (15) | 294,202 (19) | 697,664 (46) |
| Total number of unique people | 207,915 (100) | 62,660 (30) | 33,653 (16) | 46,588 (22) | 28,996 (14) | 20,355 (10) | 15,663 (8) |
| 90-day suicide attempts (visit-level) | 10,171 (100) | 104 (1) | 123 (1) | 529 (5) | 836 (8) | 1,488 (15) | 7,091 (70) |
| Event rate‡ (per 1,000 visits) | 6.7 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 10.2 |
| Unique 90-day suicide attempts (person-level) | 2,444 (100) | 104 (4) | 88 (4) | 299 (12) | 376 (15) | 484 (20) | 1,093 (45) |
| Rate of unique events per (1,000 people) | 11.8 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 6.4 | 13.0 | 23.8 | 69.8 |
| Visit characteristics | N (column %) | N (column %) | N (column %) | N (column %) | N (column %) | N (column %) | N (column %) |
|
| |||||||
| Female | 955,894 (63) | 37,988 (61) | 41,176 (61) | 109,163 (62) | 140,545 (64) | 189,708 (64) | 437,314 (63) |
| Age | |||||||
| 13 – 17 | 157,605 (10) | 5,923 (9) | 7,461 (11) | 21,808 (12) | 28,670 (13) | 35,937 (12) | 57,806 (8) |
| 18 – 29 | 262,965 (17) | 13,085 (21) | 14,811 (22) | 36,623 (21) | 41,613 (19) | 50,460 (17) | 106,373 (15) |
| 30 – 44 | 390,789 (26) | 15,818 (25) | 17,129 (25) | 46,287 (26) | 59,898 (27) | 78,127 (27) | 173,530 (25) |
| 45 – 64 | 538,274 (35) | 17,593 (28) | 18,959 (28) | 51,281 (29) | 67,175 (30) | 99,071 (34) | 284,195 (41) |
| 65 or older | 169,335 (11) | 10,241 (16) | 8,946 (13) | 19,851 (11) | 23,930 (11) | 30,607 (10) | 75,760 (11) |
| Race | |||||||
| White | 1,034,027 (68) | 38,391 (61) | 42,020 (62) | 113,819 (65) | 145,588 (66) | 195,701 (67) | 498,508 (71) |
| Asian | 69,952 (5) | 3,638 (6) | 3,596 (5) | 9,070 (5) | 10,923 (5) | 14,411 (5) | 28,314 (4) |
| Black | 142,153 (9) | 6,407 (10) | 6,664 (10) | 16,188 (9) | 21,170 (10) | 28,763 (10) | 62,961 (9) |
| Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 17,034 (1) | 768 (1) | 824 (1) | 2,249 (1) | 2,648 (1) | 3,552 (1) | 6,993 (1) |
| Native American | 15,538 (1) | 524 (1) | 684 (1) | 1,660 (1) | 2,146 (1) | 3,079 (1) | 7,445 (1) |
| More than one or Other | 9,454 (1) | 501 (1) | 532 (1) | 1,444 (1) | 1,815 (1) | 2,119 (1) | 3,043 (0) |
| Not Recorded | 230,810 (15) | 12,431 (20) | 12,986 (19) | 31,420 (18) | 36,996 (17) | 46,577 (16) | 90,400 (13) |
| Ethnicity | |||||||
| Hispanic | 343,132 (23) | 16,719 (27) | 17,614 (26) | 44,096 (25) | 53,507 (24) | 69,381 (24) | 141,815 (20) |
| Insurance type§ | |||||||
| Commercial group | 1,113,389 (73) | 43,287 (69) | 48,397 (72) | 129,149 (73) | 163,331 (74) | 220,082 (75) | 509,143 (73) |
| Self-funded | 51,177 (3) | 1,848 (3) | 2,243 (3) | 6,911 (4) | 8,836 (4) | 10,653 (4) | 20,686 (3) |
| Medicare | 233,409 (15) | 10,545 (17) | 9,593 (14) | 23,031 (13) | 28,510 (13) | 39,393 (13) | 122,337 (18) |
| Medicaid | 75,581 (5) | 3,785 (6) | 4,016 (6) | 10,520 (6) | 12,634 (6) | 15,940 (5) | 28,686 (4) |
| Private pay | 198,591 (13) | 8,630 (14) | 8,529 (13) | 21,594 (12) | 25,169 (11) | 32,977 (11) | 101,692 (15) |
| State subsidized | 3,355 (0) | 178 (0) | 177 (0) | 581 (0) | 645 (0) | 658 (0) | 1,116 (0) |
| High deductible | 124,365 (8) | 6,277 (10) | 6,483 (10) | 15,272 (9) | 18,890 (9) | 22,464 (8) | 54,979 (8) |
| PHQ-9 Item 9 score§§ recorded | |||||||
| At index visit | 203,763 (13) | 10,553 (17) | 11,723 (17) | 32,684 (19) | 38,957 (18) | 44,559 (15) | 65,287 (9) |
| At any visit in past year (excluding index) | 330,784 (22) | 3,130 (5) | 8,378 (12) | 33,885 (19) | 52,788 (24) | 73,750 (25) | 158,853 (23) |
| At any visit in past 5 years (excluding index) | 414,467 (27) | 8,985 (14) | 14,195 (21) | 48,196 (27) | 68,153 (31) | 91,156 (31) | 183,782 (26) |
| Length of enrollment prior to visit | |||||||
| 1 year or more | 1,275,487 (84) | 47,203 (75) | 51,165 (76) | 138,025 (78) | 177,749 (80) | 244,739 (83) | 616,606 (88) |
| 5 years or more | 843,134 (56) | 30,230 (48) | 31,748 (47) | 86,692 (49) | 111,637 (50) | 158,585 (54) | 424,242 (61) |
| Diagnoses in prior 5 years (including index visit)* | |||||||
| Depression | 1,119,160 (74) | 31,496 (50) | 39,713 (59) | 115,121 (65) | 155,777 (70) | 222,537 (76) | 554,516 (79) |
| Anxiety | 981,688 (65) | 25,960 (41) | 32,775 (49) | 96,454 (55) | 132,595 (60) | 195,734 (67) | 498,170 (71) |
| Bipolar dx | 190,926 (13) | 2,340 (4) | 3,421 (5) | 11,591 (7) | 19,219 (9) | 29,453 (10) | 124,902 (18) |
| Schizophrenia | 54,770 (4) | 523 (1) | 818 (1) | 2,803 (2) | 4,287 (2) | 6,756 (2) | 39,583 (6) |
| Other MH condition | 76,862 (5) | 1,291 (2) | 1,626 (2) | 4,756 (3) | 7,795 (4) | 11,639 (4) | 49,755 (7) |
| Dementia | 64,914 (4) | 3,038 (5) | 3,018 (4) | 6,424 (4) | 7,770 (4) | 10,957 (4) | 33,707 (5) |
| Attention deficit disorder | 171,413 (11) | 5,258 (8) | 6,948 (10) | 21,341 (12) | 26,648 (12) | 33,118 (11) | 78,100 (11) |
| Autism spectrum disorder | 19,404 (1) | 428 (1) | 439 (1) | 1,597 (1) | 2,691 (1) | 4,362 (1) | 9,887 (1) |
| Personality disorder | 85,829 (6) | 700 (1) | 1,019 (2) | 3,728 (2) | 5,587 (3) | 11,177 (4) | 63,618 (9) |
| Alcohol use disorder | 196,139 (13) | 1,934 (3) | 2,289 (3) | 7,166 (4) | 11,878 (5) | 21,880 (7) | 150,992 (22) |
| Drug dependence disorder | 394,513 (26) | 6,048 (10) | 7,473 (11) | 22,512 (13) | 33,109 (15) | 55,724 (19) | 269,647 (39) |
| PTSD | 140,247 (9) | 1,655 (3) | 2,427 (4) | 8,552 (5) | 13,678 (6) | 24,258 (8) | 89,677 (13) |
| Eating disorder | 50,347 (3) | 495 (1) | 691 (1) | 2,542 (1) | 4,121 (2) | 7,089 (2) | 35,409 (5) |
| Traumatic brain injury | 43,063 (3) | 1,251 (2) | 1,552 (2) | 4,097 (2) | 5,584 (3) | 7,831 (3) | 22,748 (3) |
| Medication fills in prior 5 years | |||||||
| Antidepressants | 943,017 (62) | 21,792 (35) | 27,193 (40) | 83,871 (48) | 120,402 (54) | 183,700 (62) | 506,059 (73) |
| Benzodiazepines (anxiety/sedative) | 668,960 (44) | 15,839 (25) | 18,896 (28) | 55,752 (32) | 79,243 (36) | 122,967 (42) | 376,263 (54) |
| Hypnotics | 199,503 (13) | 4,271 (7) | 5,133 (8) | 15,916 (9) | 22,060 (10) | 35,221 (12) | 116,902 (17) |
| 2nd generation antipsychotics | 302,322 (20) | 2,675 (4) | 3,864 (6) | 14,481 (8) | 25,105 (11) | 43,914 (15) | 212,283 (30) |
| Encounters in prior 5 years with psychiatric diagnoses | |||||||
| Any inpatient encounter | 349,572 (23) | 6,604 (11) | 7,639 (11) | 22,331 (13) | 32,281 (15) | 52,631 (18) | 228,086 (33) |
| Any outpatient encounter | 1,388,497 (91) | 18,970 (30) | 44,370 (66) | 147,093 (84) | 204,523 (92) | 283,071 (96) | 690,470 (99) |
| Any emergency department encounter | 518,831 (34) | 11,626 (19) | 13,438 (20) | 38,366 (22) | 54,514 (25) | 85,945 (29) | 314,942 (45) |
| Any suicide attempt | 68,442 (5) | 692 (1) | 877 (1) | 3,061 (2) | 5,087 (2) | 9,015 (3) | 49,710 (7) |
Row percentages correspond to the percent of visits, people, and suicide attempts in clusters of a particular size. Row percentages across all cluster sizes sum to 100%.
Visit-level event rate is calculated as the proportion of visits with 90-day suicide attempts x 1,000. A single event may occur in the 90 days following multiple visits that are close in time.
Insurance types at a visit are not mutually exclusive. A person may have insurance in more than one category at the time of visit.
The 9th item of the Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9) asks patients to report levels of suicidal ideation in the two weeks preceding their visit.
Summary diagnosis, medication, and encounters includes information available at the index visit and clinical history up to 5 years prior. Clinical history is left-censored at the time of health plan disenrollment.