TABLE 2.

Results of mixed models of studied recruitment traits (A) germination percentage, (B) mean time to germination (MTG), (C) emergence percentage, (D) mean time to emergence (MTE), (E) survival percentage after the growing season “gs,” and (F) overwinter survival percentage (“ow”), in response to distribution, temperature conditions, the interaction term, and ecological indicator values (see Table 1) that were found to be significant when individually added to the models.

Model terms	Full model (m1)	Chisq (m1)	p-value (m1)
(A) Germination percentage	Log-Odds: Est. (95% CI)
Distribution	0.05 (−1.63, 1.72)	0.12	0.732
Temperature	0.68 (0.59, 0.77)	378.72	<0.001
Eco-value W	1.60 (0.69, 2.51)	9.42	<0.01
Distr × Temp°	0.51 (0.31, 0.71)	26.64	<0.001
(B) MTG	Est. (95% CI)
Distribution	−3.77 (−9.39, 1.85)	3.15	0.076
Temperature	−4.30 (−5.46, −3.15)	46.02	<0.001
Eco-value W	−6.56 (−8.82, −4.30)	16.81	<0.001
Distr × Temp°	−2.05 (−5.00, 0.90)	1.85	0.173
(C) Emergence percentage	Log-Odds: Est. (95% CI)
Distribution	−0.14 (−0.75, 0.47)	0.21	0.646
Eco-value H	−0.43 (−0.72, −0.15)	7.70	<0.01
Eco-value LF (h/t)	0.14 (−0.65, 0.92)/−2.71 (−3.78, −1.65)	17.96	<0.001
(D) MTE	Est. (95% CI)
Distribution	−0.32 (−0.92, 0.28)	1.10	0.295
Eco-value T	0.61 (0.26, 0.96)	9.35	<0.01
Eco-value H	0.49 (0.22, 0.75)	9.32	<0.01
(E) Survival percentage “gs”	Log-Odds: Est. (95% CI)
Distribution	0.62 (−1.23, 1.48)	1.85	0.174
Year garden (2017)	−2.70 (−3.16, −2.24)	80.08	<0.001
(F) Survival percentage “ow”	Log-Odds: Est. (95% CI)
Distribution	−0.25 (−0.50, 0.00)	3.48	0.062
Eco-value F	−0.38 (−0.51, −0.25)	11.25	<0.001

All models were set with distribution “wide” as reference, temperature “warm” in cases (A,B), LF “c” in case of (C). Est., Estimate; CI, Confidence intervals; Chisq, test statistic and p-values of full model (m1). Chi-square and p-values were estimated with maximum likelihood; ^°in cases of interactions we used contrast-coding (Levy, 2018).