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. 2022 May 26;5(5):e2213945. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.13945

Table 4. Absolute Risk of AF Rehospitalization, Initiation of Anticoagulation Therapy, and Death in Patients With New-Onset AF After Community-Acquired Pneumonia Not Receiving OAC Therapy.

Strata Risk, % (95% CI)
AF rehospitalization OAC initiation All-cause deatha
1-y Follow-up 3-y Follow-up 1-y Follow-up 3-y Follow-up 1-y Follow-up 3-y Follow-up
New-onset AF 20.5 (19.6-21.5) 32.9 (31.8-34.1) 8.7 (8.1-9.4) 14.0 (13.2-14.9) 26.3 (25.2-27.4) 49.8 (48.6-51.1)
Baseline stroke riskb
Low 16.2 (12.7-20.0) 27.7 (23.3-32.2) 6.7 (4.5-9.4) 14.5 (11.2-18.2) 10.8 (8.1-14.4) 17.6 (14.2-21.9)
Intermediate 19.9 (18.4-21.5) 31.6 (29.8-33.5) 9.9 (8.7-11.1) 16.1 (14.7-17.6) 22.8 (21.3-24.5) 43.7 (41.8-45.7)
High 21.5 (20.1-22.8) 34.3 (32.8-35.9) 8.1 (7.3-9.1) 12.5 (11.4-13.6) 30.4 (29.0-32.0) 57.7 (56.1-59.4)

Abbreviations: AF, atrial fibrillation; OAC, oral anticoagulation.

a

Death was treated as a competing risk.

b

Among patients with new-onset AF, baseline stroke risk was determined according to CHA2DS2-VASc score (congestive heart failure or left ventricular ejection fraction ≤40%; hypertension; age ≥75 years; diabetes; stroke, transient ischemic attack, or thromboembolism history; vascular disease; age 65-74 years; and female sex) assigned points: low risk (0-1, no risk factors when disregarding female sex as a lone risk factor), intermediate risk (1-2 risk factors), and high risk (≥3 risk factors) where points for female sex were not taken into account.