Table 3.
Prediction errors obtained with the multivariate model (active energy, reactive energy, temperature, and humidity).
Hours | LSTM | GRU | EMD–LSTM | EMD–GRU | CEEMD–LSTM | CEEMD–GRU | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ahead | RMSE | MAPE | RMSE | MAPE | RMSE | MAPE | RMSE | MAPE | RMSE | MAPE | RMSE | MAPE |
1 | 54.83 | 3.22 | 48.74 | 2.93 | 40.29 | 2.60 | 40.14 | 2.58 | 37.66 | 2.42 | 38.66 | 2.44 |
2 | 71.65 | 3.88 | 60.79 | 3.38 | 46.62 | 2.96 | 45.75 | 2.93 | 42.82 | 2.72 | 43.92 | 2.80 |
3 | 80.69 | 4.39 | 72.43 | 3.96 | 52.14 | 3.31 | 50.95 | 3.23 | 47.20 | 2.97 | 48.40 | 3.06 |
4 | 86.52 | 4.81 | 84.14 | 4.68 | 55.06 | 3.50 | 53.91 | 3.43 | 49.97 | 3.22 | 52.55 | 3.30 |
5 | 90.03 | 5.04 | 90.72 | 5.05 | 56.75 | 3.62 | 55.98 | 3.55 | 51.71 | 3.36 | 54.26 | 3.43 |
6 | 93.37 | 5.32 | 92.22 | 5.20 | 57.80 | 3.66 | 56.76 | 3.60 | 52.99 | 3.43 | 55.79 | 3.53 |
7 | 96.37 | 5.65 | 95.16 | 5.48 | 58.48 | 3.74 | 57.23 | 3.65 | 53.66 | 3.52 | 56.40 | 3.58 |
8 | 98.52 | 5.85 | 97.51 | 5.76 | 59.98 | 3.81 | 57.43 | 3.63 | 54.80 | 3.56 | 58.62 | 3.73 |
9 | 100.46 | 6.10 | 98.23 | 6.00 | 62.21 | 3.95 | 59.49 | 3.71 | 56.17 | 3.60 | 61.97 | 3.95 |
10 | 100.61 | 6.22 | 98.46 | 6.12 | 64.16 | 4.02 | 60.83 | 3.81 | 58.37 | 3.67 | 63.90 | 4.03 |
11 | 101.52 | 6.36 | 98.36 | 6.22 | 65.88 | 4.11 | 61.30 | 3.81 | 59.98 | 3.69 | 64.69 | 4.03 |
12 | 100.87 | 6.37 | 97.08 | 6.20 | 64.91 | 4.07 | 63.10 | 3.86 | 59.56 | 3.67 | 64.75 | 4.04 |
13 | 99.39 | 6.33 | 95.51 | 6.19 | 64.92 | 4.11 | 62.44 | 3.80 | 58.66 | 3.62 | 64.56 | 4.03 |
14 | 97.44 | 6.24 | 93.49 | 6.15 | 63.93 | 4.03 | 63.32 | 3.87 | 57.05 | 3.52 | 64.85 | 4.02 |
15 | 94.16 | 6.01 | 90.80 | 5.91 | 62.53 | 3.94 | 60.50 | 3.73 | 55.38 | 3.48 | 65.28 | 4.08 |
16 | 92.69 | 5.88 | 88.76 | 5.70 | 62.10 | 3.95 | 60.19 | 3.78 | 54.54 | 3.46 | 65.64 | 4.11 |
17 | 90.98 | 5.71 | 87.83 | 5.54 | 61.21 | 3.94 | 58.52 | 3.72 | 54.69 | 3.52 | 65.82 | 4.14 |
18 | 88.92 | 5.54 | 85.75 | 5.33 | 60.09 | 3.87 | 58.59 | 3.77 | 55.08 | 3.55 | 66.11 | 4.16 |
19 | 86.35 | 5.30 | 82.27 | 5.04 | 59.61 | 3.84 | 59.12 | 3.84 | 56.11 | 3.62 | 65.06 | 4.13 |
20 | 83.63 | 5.06 | 78.16 | 4.75 | 58.85 | 3.82 | 59.79 | 3.86 | 57.31 | 3.70 | 61.85 | 3.94 |
21 | 78.55 | 4.71 | 73.38 | 4.47 | 58.34 | 3.82 | 60.23 | 3.94 | 58.80 | 3.81 | 60.88 | 3.93 |
22 | 72.47 | 4.24 | 68.99 | 4.16 | 58.13 | 3.83 | 60.96 | 3.98 | 61.08 | 3.96 | 62.39 | 4.01 |
23 | 74.18 | 4.30 | 69.94 | 4.14 | 58.56 | 3.80 | 63.10 | 4.11 | 63.30 | 4.06 | 64.58 | 4.19 |
24 | 77.10 | 4.50 | 74.32 | 4.37 | 59.55 | 3.87 | 65.12 | 4.21 | 64.48 | 4.09 | 66.39 | 4.24 |
Mean | 87.97 | 5.29 | 84.29 | 5.11 | 58.84 | 3.76 | 58.11 | 3.68 | 55.06 | 3.51 | 59.89 | 3.79 |
Std | 11.89 | 0.88 | 13.35 | 0.94 | 5.83 | 0.36 | 5.69 | 0.35 | 6.06 | 0.38 | 7.53 | 0.47 |